Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers
It's hard to pick the Broncos after last week's thrashing, but it's even harder to pick the Niners after they dropped a game to a team that is arguably the worst in football.
Prediction: 49ers
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Dallas Cowboys
The Jaguars are porous against the pass, and even worse against the run. The Cowboys might be missing their starting QB, but their running game should get going in a big way against the Jaguars' D.
Prediction: Cowboys
Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals
The Dolphins just had a tough, hard-fought loss against the Steelers, they're on a down streak that has to turn around eventually, and they're not playing at home. That all equates to an advantage for them, and I say the Bengals' troubles continue.
Prediction: Dolphins
Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs
I almost want to take the upset here, but the Chiefs are on a roll and I don't believe they'll allow the Bills to get their first win. Six down, eleven to go.
Prediction: Chiefs
Washington Redskins @ Detroit Lions
I wanted to take the Lions to beat the team they got their first win against last season, but with all the injuries they have I don't think they can overcome the Skins.
Prediction: Redskins
Carolina Panthers @ St. Louis Rams
The Rams couldn't possibly drop two straight to two bad teams after that start they had, can they? Nah, they won't...probably.
Prediction: Rams
Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets
Despite a win last week, the Packers are still injured and struggling. They'll continue to struggle against a team like the Jets.
Prediction: Jets
Tennessee Titans @ San Diego Chargers
The Chargers are solid against the run and Tennessee gives up a lot of yards against the pass. The thing that could kill the Chargers is mistakes, but I think with the return of Vincent Jackson the mistakes will go down and the Chargers end their losing streak. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Chargers
Minnesota Vikings @ New England Patriots
This homecoming is going to be a rough one for Randy Moss, New England isn't the greatest team to face when you're on a losing streak.
Prediction: Patriots
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Arizona Cardinals
The key stat in this game is passing, with both teams struggling running the ball. Tampa had a breakout performance last week from LeGarrette Blount, though, so they win in that department. Josh Freeman outperforms Max Hall, and the Bucs pick up a win.
Prediction: Buccaneers
Seattle Seahawks @ Oakland Raiders
This could be a close game, but the Raiders are bad in allowing point through the air and I think the Seahawks are able to air it out. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Seahawks
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
This really is who dat football, as in who dat team on the field? Not the team that won the Superbowl last year. Look out Saints, the Steelers are rolling.
Prediction: Steelers
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
The Colts are really going to struggle without Dallas Clark. They're banged up across the board, and I expect Houston to sweep them for the first time in history. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Texans
Sunday, October 31, 2010
NFL Week Seven Thoughts
Atlanta Falcons def. Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals put up more of a fight than I would've thought, but the Falcons weren't going to lose that one.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Miami Dolphins
Controversial call gets the Steelers the win. I don't know if I should chalk how close this was up to the Steelers not being as good as advertised, or the Dolphins being better than advertised, but either way I'll take the win.
Baltimore Ravens def. Buffalo Bills
Surprise, surprise, this one was close, maybe Buffalo will win one or more this season. Hopefully it doesn't come next week.
Kansas City Chiefs def. Jacksonville Jaguars
They may have only beat the Jaguars, but I'm starting to think the Chiefs are for real. If they can beat Denver I'll be convinced they'll win the division.
Cleveland Browns def. New Orleans Saints
Huge surprise, unless their defense gets better the Saints are going to be in trouble.
Washington Redskins def. Chicago Bears
That game killed, the Bears really should've won it. Two of Jay's four interceptions should never have been thrown, and if they aren't the Bears likely win the game. Absolutely killer.
Carolina Panthers def. San Francisco 49ers
Niners are in deep trouble. Mike Singletary is talking about playoffs. "Playoffs! You're talking playoffs!?!" He needs to be worried about just keeping his job.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers def. St. Louis Rams
I hate the Rams, based on their previous games you wouldn't think they'd drop one against the Bucs. This is becoming one of the harder teams to predict.
Tennessee Titans def. Philadelphia Eagles
It's a little surprising Kerry Collins was able to carry this team, but the Titans again show an ability to win big games with defense and running. I'm starting to get past the stigma this team gained after following up a 13-3 season with an 8-8 season.
Seattle Seahawks def. Arizona Cardinals
No surprises here, the Seahawks might be the best team in this division right now.
New England Patriots def. San Diego Chargers
Closer than I would have thought, but Belichick's boys weren't going to lose here. Chargers might improve greatly with V-Jax back on the field, with all their struggles I'm surprised that he's the one who caved.
Oakland Raiders def. Denver Broncos
Wow, that is EMBARASSING for Denver. They're in a tight spot, this should've been a bounceback game and instead went the other way.
Green Bay Packers def. Minnesota Vikings
This game's all on Favre, he's really falling into a slump. If things keep up this way this should be his last season.
New York Giants def. Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is REALLY in trouble, and now they're going to have to find a scapegoat other than Romo.
The Bengals put up more of a fight than I would've thought, but the Falcons weren't going to lose that one.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Miami Dolphins
Controversial call gets the Steelers the win. I don't know if I should chalk how close this was up to the Steelers not being as good as advertised, or the Dolphins being better than advertised, but either way I'll take the win.
Baltimore Ravens def. Buffalo Bills
Surprise, surprise, this one was close, maybe Buffalo will win one or more this season. Hopefully it doesn't come next week.
Kansas City Chiefs def. Jacksonville Jaguars
They may have only beat the Jaguars, but I'm starting to think the Chiefs are for real. If they can beat Denver I'll be convinced they'll win the division.
Cleveland Browns def. New Orleans Saints
Huge surprise, unless their defense gets better the Saints are going to be in trouble.
Washington Redskins def. Chicago Bears
That game killed, the Bears really should've won it. Two of Jay's four interceptions should never have been thrown, and if they aren't the Bears likely win the game. Absolutely killer.
Carolina Panthers def. San Francisco 49ers
Niners are in deep trouble. Mike Singletary is talking about playoffs. "Playoffs! You're talking playoffs!?!" He needs to be worried about just keeping his job.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers def. St. Louis Rams
I hate the Rams, based on their previous games you wouldn't think they'd drop one against the Bucs. This is becoming one of the harder teams to predict.
Tennessee Titans def. Philadelphia Eagles
It's a little surprising Kerry Collins was able to carry this team, but the Titans again show an ability to win big games with defense and running. I'm starting to get past the stigma this team gained after following up a 13-3 season with an 8-8 season.
Seattle Seahawks def. Arizona Cardinals
No surprises here, the Seahawks might be the best team in this division right now.
New England Patriots def. San Diego Chargers
Closer than I would have thought, but Belichick's boys weren't going to lose here. Chargers might improve greatly with V-Jax back on the field, with all their struggles I'm surprised that he's the one who caved.
Oakland Raiders def. Denver Broncos
Wow, that is EMBARASSING for Denver. They're in a tight spot, this should've been a bounceback game and instead went the other way.
Green Bay Packers def. Minnesota Vikings
This game's all on Favre, he's really falling into a slump. If things keep up this way this should be his last season.
New York Giants def. Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is REALLY in trouble, and now they're going to have to find a scapegoat other than Romo.
Saturday, October 23, 2010
NFL Week Seven Predictions
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons
I really want to take Cinci here as the Falcons have shown they can get beat by the run, but I do not trust that Cinci defense just yet and Carson Palmer is struggling mightily.
Prediction: Falcons
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
I should be a little more careful here with Miami at home and just coming off a game where they shut down one of the league's best runners, but between that Steelers' defense and Big Ben I have to go with Pittsburgh.
Prediction: Steelers
Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens
Five down, eleven to go.
Prediction: Ravens
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs
It's hard to go against a team like the Jaguars that has played hard against the likes of Indy, especially through the air, but with KC's run game firing on all cylinders and the cats getting gouged on the ground I have to take the Chiefs. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Chiefs
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints
Cleveland might pull a surprise out, but I wouldn't count on it.
Prediction: Saints
Washington Redskins @ Chicago Bears
Seeing Washington roll on Indy like that and the Bears falter against the Seahawks, I don't have much hope for this game. Unless we can cover Washington's receivers and keep Donovan McNabb contained it's going to be a long game.
Prediction: Redskins
San Francisco 49ers @ Carolina Panthers
Both teams have been bad this season, but the Panthers look worse. They're porous against the run, and the Niners have Frank Gore.
Prediction: 49ers
St. Louis Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
As I said, the Bucs have become a one-dimensional team. The Rams showed vulnerability against the Lions, but I expect they should have no problems gouging this Bucs' defense.
Prediction: Rams
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tennessee Titans
The Eagles are allowing over 100 yards rushing per game, and their secondary has been coming away with key turnovers. Everyone's been waiting for a huge game by Chris Johnson, this could be it. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Titans
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
Arizona is close to last in the league in sacks allowed, if Seattle plays anywhere near as well in that department as they did against the Bears then they should come away with a win. The Cards have some playmakers and the Hawks will probably have to open up their passing game a bit, but with homefield advantage I'm taking Seattle.
Prediction: Seahawks
New England Patriots @ San Diego Chargers
The Chargers are struggling, the Pats are hitting their stride, no way San Diego gets back on track against this tough of an opponent.
Prediction: Patriots
Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos
The Broncos' red zone woes should be solved with a struggling defense and turnover-prone offense coming to town.
Prediction: Broncos
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
This is a tough one, both teams have passing attacks that have stalled at times but still feature playmakers. Both teams have defenses that have been good against the run in the past. The Vikings have AP, though, and the Packers are without a standout rusher. I almost give them the edge based on secondary, but I think Favre, Moss, and the Vikings pull out a close one. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Vikings
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
The Giants are allowing a ton of points per game through the air, but not giving up yards. The Cowboys are gaining a lot of yards per game through the air, but not scoring points. Something's gotta give, but it's hard to tell what. The Giants' pass rush is good, their running game is getting going, and they're playing well as a team while the Cowboys are struggling. I have to go with the Giants.
Prediction: Giants
I really want to take Cinci here as the Falcons have shown they can get beat by the run, but I do not trust that Cinci defense just yet and Carson Palmer is struggling mightily.
Prediction: Falcons
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
I should be a little more careful here with Miami at home and just coming off a game where they shut down one of the league's best runners, but between that Steelers' defense and Big Ben I have to go with Pittsburgh.
Prediction: Steelers
Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens
Five down, eleven to go.
Prediction: Ravens
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs
It's hard to go against a team like the Jaguars that has played hard against the likes of Indy, especially through the air, but with KC's run game firing on all cylinders and the cats getting gouged on the ground I have to take the Chiefs. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Chiefs
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints
Cleveland might pull a surprise out, but I wouldn't count on it.
Prediction: Saints
Washington Redskins @ Chicago Bears
Seeing Washington roll on Indy like that and the Bears falter against the Seahawks, I don't have much hope for this game. Unless we can cover Washington's receivers and keep Donovan McNabb contained it's going to be a long game.
Prediction: Redskins
San Francisco 49ers @ Carolina Panthers
Both teams have been bad this season, but the Panthers look worse. They're porous against the run, and the Niners have Frank Gore.
Prediction: 49ers
St. Louis Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
As I said, the Bucs have become a one-dimensional team. The Rams showed vulnerability against the Lions, but I expect they should have no problems gouging this Bucs' defense.
Prediction: Rams
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tennessee Titans
The Eagles are allowing over 100 yards rushing per game, and their secondary has been coming away with key turnovers. Everyone's been waiting for a huge game by Chris Johnson, this could be it. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Titans
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
Arizona is close to last in the league in sacks allowed, if Seattle plays anywhere near as well in that department as they did against the Bears then they should come away with a win. The Cards have some playmakers and the Hawks will probably have to open up their passing game a bit, but with homefield advantage I'm taking Seattle.
Prediction: Seahawks
New England Patriots @ San Diego Chargers
The Chargers are struggling, the Pats are hitting their stride, no way San Diego gets back on track against this tough of an opponent.
Prediction: Patriots
Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos
The Broncos' red zone woes should be solved with a struggling defense and turnover-prone offense coming to town.
Prediction: Broncos
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
This is a tough one, both teams have passing attacks that have stalled at times but still feature playmakers. Both teams have defenses that have been good against the run in the past. The Vikings have AP, though, and the Packers are without a standout rusher. I almost give them the edge based on secondary, but I think Favre, Moss, and the Vikings pull out a close one. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Vikings
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
The Giants are allowing a ton of points per game through the air, but not giving up yards. The Cowboys are gaining a lot of yards per game through the air, but not scoring points. Something's gotta give, but it's hard to tell what. The Giants' pass rush is good, their running game is getting going, and they're playing well as a team while the Cowboys are struggling. I have to go with the Giants.
Prediction: Giants
NFL Week Six Thoughts
Philadelphia Eagles def. Atlanta Falcons
Perhaps Kevin Kolb isn't a lost cause after all. Atlanta's secondary takes a beating, although it takes a group of talented playmakers to deliver that beating. Philly's defense also deserves some credit for holding the birds to 50 yards rushing on the day.
Houston Texans def. Kansas City Chiefs
I'm a little surprised the margin of victory was so low, sometimes I wonder how the Chiefs can struggle against a Colts' defense that's been inconsistent and then come up so big against the Texans with their returning all-pro linebacker. Matt Cassel and that offense continue to confuse me, but I had faith that Matt Schaub would get the job done.
New Orleans Saints def. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I keep saying that New Orleans' defense is underrated and that Tampa is getting off easy in some of their games, right on both fronts here. The Bucs are not a playoff team yet, and the Saints still are even if they have yet to prove that they can make a deep run like last season's.
Miami Dolphins def. Green Bay Packers
Once again the Pack loses in overtime, only this time it's so much sweeter since I picked them to lose. This team clearly isn't as talented as every analyst and their mothers made them out to be in the pre-season, all that hype was based on the presence of a few playmakers and overlooked the absence present at other positions. Just because they don't live up to that astronomical hype doesn't mean they're not still a good team, we'll see how they bounce back against a division rival in Minnesota.
St. Louis Rams def. San Diego Chargers
It's official, I hate the Chargers. Everyone's talking about how they always start slow, but I don't base my predictions on that kind of speculation. I'll start believing in them as a playoff caliber team when they start winning again, until then I'll remain skeptical. They definitely have problems on defense, although they were only a field goal away from tying it up their defense has to start playing better in terms of holding opponents in the clutch. They also only had 80 yards on the ground despite a better than 4.5 average per carry, I would say the running game might need to pick up a little. Something has to change, their gameplan just is not working.
New England Patriots def. Baltimore Ravens
Pats win by a field goal. I'm a little surprised that the Patriots' offense functioned so well without Randy Moss, I'm also surprised the Ravens' defense allowed as many yards as they did-over 100 yards rushing and almost 300 through the air. I guess the lesson to take away from this is to never count the Pats out, just when you think they're struggling they hit a bounceback game like this.
New York Giants def. Detroit Lions
Detroit is down to their third QB, yikes. I've always known Bradshaw was a good rusher, Coughlin stuck with Jacobs for too long as the number one guy. Other than that not too many surprises.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Cleveland Browns
I'm only surprised the Steelers didn't have more yards rushing and through the air. Mendenhall rushes for 80 against Cleveland? Come on.
Chicago Bears def. Seattle Seahawks
The Chicago ends continue to support my argument that they should've kept Alex Brown on the roster, it's clear that Peppers needs some kind of support in order to get going. That secondary also became exposed in the way I've said they would since the pre-season, they need to play better against short passing routes. Danieal Manning was exposed just as I was starting to warm up to the idea of him being a consistent starter, but Charles Tillman really seemed to be the biggest disappointment on that side of the ball for me.
On offense, dear god stop the bleeding. I dunno if I should be angry at Tice, Martz, or the linemen for this, but I got extremely sick of seeing corners run at Cutler unblocked while the tackles were standing around doing nothing. Some adjustment has to be made, whether it's one of scheme or anticipation, getting beat on the same plays like that is inexcusable. I was also thinking during the game that they got nowhere on many of their run plays, but in hindsight they should have run more. Martz' problem isn't that he can't run the ball, it's that he doesn't know how to commit to it, and perhaps if they had gotten away from the pass they would have worn down that defense. Finally with the sacks, they do need to execute better in terms of hot reads, that one's on Cutler.
New York Jets def. Denver Broncos
I'm a little surprised as to how successful the Broncos were against the run, but other than that I wasn't surprised. It's nothing new when the Denver offense fails to put enough points on the board.
San Francisco 49ers def. Oakland Raiders
Two teams that continue to confound me...continue to confound me. The Raiders have been capitalizing on mistakes lately, and the Niners were one of the most mistake-prone teams out there. Frank Gore finally showed up big, and Alex Smith's two TD, zero INT game catapulted them to a win. Jason Campbell's two Interceptions didn't help the Raiders at all.
Minnesota Vikings def. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys continue to kill themselves with penalties, they had this game within their grasp the same way they did with so many others. Tony Romo was the leading passer for the game, they held AP to 70 yards, and they still lose. They have no one to blame but themselves.
Indianapolis Colts def. Washington Redskins
Donovan McNabb put up a fight, but Peyton lit the field up passing.
Tennessee Titans def. Jacksonville Jaguars
Chris Johnson shows up and helps his team beat down their division rivals.
Perhaps Kevin Kolb isn't a lost cause after all. Atlanta's secondary takes a beating, although it takes a group of talented playmakers to deliver that beating. Philly's defense also deserves some credit for holding the birds to 50 yards rushing on the day.
Houston Texans def. Kansas City Chiefs
I'm a little surprised the margin of victory was so low, sometimes I wonder how the Chiefs can struggle against a Colts' defense that's been inconsistent and then come up so big against the Texans with their returning all-pro linebacker. Matt Cassel and that offense continue to confuse me, but I had faith that Matt Schaub would get the job done.
New Orleans Saints def. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I keep saying that New Orleans' defense is underrated and that Tampa is getting off easy in some of their games, right on both fronts here. The Bucs are not a playoff team yet, and the Saints still are even if they have yet to prove that they can make a deep run like last season's.
Miami Dolphins def. Green Bay Packers
Once again the Pack loses in overtime, only this time it's so much sweeter since I picked them to lose. This team clearly isn't as talented as every analyst and their mothers made them out to be in the pre-season, all that hype was based on the presence of a few playmakers and overlooked the absence present at other positions. Just because they don't live up to that astronomical hype doesn't mean they're not still a good team, we'll see how they bounce back against a division rival in Minnesota.
St. Louis Rams def. San Diego Chargers
It's official, I hate the Chargers. Everyone's talking about how they always start slow, but I don't base my predictions on that kind of speculation. I'll start believing in them as a playoff caliber team when they start winning again, until then I'll remain skeptical. They definitely have problems on defense, although they were only a field goal away from tying it up their defense has to start playing better in terms of holding opponents in the clutch. They also only had 80 yards on the ground despite a better than 4.5 average per carry, I would say the running game might need to pick up a little. Something has to change, their gameplan just is not working.
New England Patriots def. Baltimore Ravens
Pats win by a field goal. I'm a little surprised that the Patriots' offense functioned so well without Randy Moss, I'm also surprised the Ravens' defense allowed as many yards as they did-over 100 yards rushing and almost 300 through the air. I guess the lesson to take away from this is to never count the Pats out, just when you think they're struggling they hit a bounceback game like this.
New York Giants def. Detroit Lions
Detroit is down to their third QB, yikes. I've always known Bradshaw was a good rusher, Coughlin stuck with Jacobs for too long as the number one guy. Other than that not too many surprises.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Cleveland Browns
I'm only surprised the Steelers didn't have more yards rushing and through the air. Mendenhall rushes for 80 against Cleveland? Come on.
Chicago Bears def. Seattle Seahawks
The Chicago ends continue to support my argument that they should've kept Alex Brown on the roster, it's clear that Peppers needs some kind of support in order to get going. That secondary also became exposed in the way I've said they would since the pre-season, they need to play better against short passing routes. Danieal Manning was exposed just as I was starting to warm up to the idea of him being a consistent starter, but Charles Tillman really seemed to be the biggest disappointment on that side of the ball for me.
On offense, dear god stop the bleeding. I dunno if I should be angry at Tice, Martz, or the linemen for this, but I got extremely sick of seeing corners run at Cutler unblocked while the tackles were standing around doing nothing. Some adjustment has to be made, whether it's one of scheme or anticipation, getting beat on the same plays like that is inexcusable. I was also thinking during the game that they got nowhere on many of their run plays, but in hindsight they should have run more. Martz' problem isn't that he can't run the ball, it's that he doesn't know how to commit to it, and perhaps if they had gotten away from the pass they would have worn down that defense. Finally with the sacks, they do need to execute better in terms of hot reads, that one's on Cutler.
New York Jets def. Denver Broncos
I'm a little surprised as to how successful the Broncos were against the run, but other than that I wasn't surprised. It's nothing new when the Denver offense fails to put enough points on the board.
San Francisco 49ers def. Oakland Raiders
Two teams that continue to confound me...continue to confound me. The Raiders have been capitalizing on mistakes lately, and the Niners were one of the most mistake-prone teams out there. Frank Gore finally showed up big, and Alex Smith's two TD, zero INT game catapulted them to a win. Jason Campbell's two Interceptions didn't help the Raiders at all.
Minnesota Vikings def. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys continue to kill themselves with penalties, they had this game within their grasp the same way they did with so many others. Tony Romo was the leading passer for the game, they held AP to 70 yards, and they still lose. They have no one to blame but themselves.
Indianapolis Colts def. Washington Redskins
Donovan McNabb put up a fight, but Peyton lit the field up passing.
Tennessee Titans def. Jacksonville Jaguars
Chris Johnson shows up and helps his team beat down their division rivals.
Saturday, October 16, 2010
NFL Week Six Predictions
Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles
Both teams have a defense that's adept at generating picks, but Atlanta has the better QB. In addition, the Eagles' defense is massively outmatched against the Falcons' run game, and I say the Falcons pick up a tough road win.
Prediction: Falcons
Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans
The Chiefs may be pick happy, but Schaub is a veteran and his protection should hold up. In addition, the Chiefs should face their toughest run defense in a while with Brian Cushing returning for the Texans.
Prediction: Texans
New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs have become completely dependent on the arm of Josh Freeman, and the Saints aren't going to lose against a one-dimensional team.
Prediction: Saints
Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers
It took me a while to decide on this one, but Miami has been doing fairly well in terms of limiting sacks and the Packers are down Nick Barnett and Clay Matthews. Rodgers will keep the Pack in this, but the Dolphins will finally bounce back if they can limit mistakes. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Dolphins
San Diego Chargers @ St. Louis Rams
San Diego should win this game, but mistakes could lead to another upset.
Prediction: Chargers
Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
The Ravens have too much offensive talent for this Pats team to deal with, and their defense should keep Brady and company from blowing it wide open.
Prediction: Ravens
Detroit Lions @ New York Giants
The Lions won't pass all over the Giants like they did against the Rams, and they won't score 44 points. This Giants team will start to hit its stride with a win against the Lions
Prediction: Giants
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Big Ben returns to complete a team that has been dominating on defense and in the rung game, the Browns should be an easy comeback game for him.
Prediction: Steelers
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears
The Seahawks haven't developed enough as an all-around team for me to pick them here, their offense isn't good enough to hang with Martz' so long as Cutler performs well coming back from injury, and they're sure to run into problems with the Bears' defense. I know I said I'd stop picking my team to win every week, but so far it hasn't been a bad strategy, I'm 4-1.
Prediction: Bears
New York Jets @ Denver Broncos
I'm tempted to go with the Broncos as most teams that have beaten them have done it with a high powered offense and I wonder if the Jets can keep up. I do think the Broncos' passing numbers will go down against this defense, though.
Prediction: Jets
Oakland Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers
The Raiders are a hungry team that are capitalizing on mistakes, the Niners are handing games to their opponents. This could be a misfire, but I'm not picking the Niners again until they prove they can play smart and win a game. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Raiders
Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings
Tough call, but I have to go with the Cowboys here. The Vikings are going to have QB issues no matter who starts, and the Cowboys should be able to get decent pressure on them. The Cowboys aren't much better, but I say Miles Austin and Tony Romo pull this one out, if only by a small margin.
Prediction: Cowboys
Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Redskins
This is a hard game to call with so many players listed as questionable. I'm going to got eh safe route and say the Colts win. Still, this is my game of the week.
Prediction: Colts
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
The Titans should have the perfect formula for beating the Jaguars. Their secondary will give Garrard headaches, and VY and CJ2K will beat them on the other side of the ball.
Prediction: Titans
Both teams have a defense that's adept at generating picks, but Atlanta has the better QB. In addition, the Eagles' defense is massively outmatched against the Falcons' run game, and I say the Falcons pick up a tough road win.
Prediction: Falcons
Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans
The Chiefs may be pick happy, but Schaub is a veteran and his protection should hold up. In addition, the Chiefs should face their toughest run defense in a while with Brian Cushing returning for the Texans.
Prediction: Texans
New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs have become completely dependent on the arm of Josh Freeman, and the Saints aren't going to lose against a one-dimensional team.
Prediction: Saints
Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers
It took me a while to decide on this one, but Miami has been doing fairly well in terms of limiting sacks and the Packers are down Nick Barnett and Clay Matthews. Rodgers will keep the Pack in this, but the Dolphins will finally bounce back if they can limit mistakes. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Dolphins
San Diego Chargers @ St. Louis Rams
San Diego should win this game, but mistakes could lead to another upset.
Prediction: Chargers
Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
The Ravens have too much offensive talent for this Pats team to deal with, and their defense should keep Brady and company from blowing it wide open.
Prediction: Ravens
Detroit Lions @ New York Giants
The Lions won't pass all over the Giants like they did against the Rams, and they won't score 44 points. This Giants team will start to hit its stride with a win against the Lions
Prediction: Giants
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Big Ben returns to complete a team that has been dominating on defense and in the rung game, the Browns should be an easy comeback game for him.
Prediction: Steelers
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears
The Seahawks haven't developed enough as an all-around team for me to pick them here, their offense isn't good enough to hang with Martz' so long as Cutler performs well coming back from injury, and they're sure to run into problems with the Bears' defense. I know I said I'd stop picking my team to win every week, but so far it hasn't been a bad strategy, I'm 4-1.
Prediction: Bears
New York Jets @ Denver Broncos
I'm tempted to go with the Broncos as most teams that have beaten them have done it with a high powered offense and I wonder if the Jets can keep up. I do think the Broncos' passing numbers will go down against this defense, though.
Prediction: Jets
Oakland Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers
The Raiders are a hungry team that are capitalizing on mistakes, the Niners are handing games to their opponents. This could be a misfire, but I'm not picking the Niners again until they prove they can play smart and win a game. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Raiders
Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings
Tough call, but I have to go with the Cowboys here. The Vikings are going to have QB issues no matter who starts, and the Cowboys should be able to get decent pressure on them. The Cowboys aren't much better, but I say Miles Austin and Tony Romo pull this one out, if only by a small margin.
Prediction: Cowboys
Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Redskins
This is a hard game to call with so many players listed as questionable. I'm going to got eh safe route and say the Colts win. Still, this is my game of the week.
Prediction: Colts
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
The Titans should have the perfect formula for beating the Jaguars. Their secondary will give Garrard headaches, and VY and CJ2K will beat them on the other side of the ball.
Prediction: Titans
NFL Week Five Thoughts
Jacksonville Jaguars def. Buffalo Bills
Jacksonville seems to be a pretty underrated team in terms of stats, they held dynamic rookie C.J. Spiller to 31 yards rushing. They do still have problems, but they won a game everyone expected them to win. Fitzpatrick didn't look bad starting, we'll see if this holds up.
New York Giants def. Houston Texans
The Texans are reliant on long drops, and the Giants know how to victimize teams like that. What's more impressive is that they held Arian Foster to 25 yards. If this team can minimize penalties and mistakes they can make some serious noise down the stretch. Don't panic just yet, Houston fans, there aren't a lot of great secondaries that can stop Matt Schaub like the Giants can.
Kansas City Chiefs def. Indianapolis Colts
What kills me in picks is when teams are perfectly capable of winning a game and just let it slip away. KC showed the weak part of their team, and that's their receiving corps. Key drops could have gotten the Chiefs one of the biggest upsets of the year. The game also showed that their defense still has to play its absolute best to keep up with a QB like Manning, though.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers def. Cincinnati Bengals
Another one of those games that makes picks grueling, the Bengals could've won it if not for three picks by Palmer. Is he really falling off as many are predicting? Who knows, but Josh Freeman is shining an a performance where not only did his opponents gain 50 more yards rushing then his team, but his defense gave up 21 points. The bottom is going to fall out eventually, though, when they play some tougher opponents.
Washington Redskins def. Green Bay Packers
When do I love being wrong? When I pick the Pack to win. Donovan McNabb hasn't lost a step and might even be improving, but the biggest story is the Redskins holding the Pack to 13 points. They'll be right in the division mix near the end of the season if they can keep this up.
Detroit Lions def. St. Louis Rams
Well, the Rams' luck had to run out sometime and the Lions were bound to win one at some point, now can they break last season's record and win two more? It appears Sam Bradford does have a weakness: pressure, and despite Steven Jackson putting on a clinic the Lions were able to shut down the Rams' scoring. Most impressive, though, is that Shaun Hill threw three touchdowns against what is supposed to be an underrated secondary. The jury is still out on the Rams after this game.
Chicago Bears def. Carolina Panthers
A lot of people touted the Bears' rushing performance, but I'm a little more pessimistic as most of those yards came on a handful of big runs. Still, it's something to be optimistic about. I also had an excuse ready for the usual naysayers should they point out what I just mentioned, that the run game would have been more successful in the second half had we been able to throw with any consistency. Cutler coming back will be a huge boon to this team.
Atlanta Falcons def. Cleveland Browns
Pretty textbook here, all the Falcons' playmakers dominated the game as expected.
Baltimore Ravens def. Denver Broncos
I am surprised that Kyle Orton was able to put up as many yards as he did against the Ravens defense, but like I said that Ravens' offense has too many playmakers for an average defense like Denver's to handle.
Arizona Cardinals def. New Orleans Saints
This one is really ridiculous, New Orleans beat Arizona in every category except the one that matters most, final score. Alright, I take that back, they lost the turnover battle which many consider key. Drew Brees threw three interceptions in one game, really? You can't even blame the lack of PT and Reggie Bush, the New Orleans run game completely outperformed that of the Cardinals. The Saints' problems have to be blamed on execution.
Tennessee Titans def. Dallas Cowboys
You can blame it on mistakes all you want, but most of those interceptions were created by a very good and very underrated Titans' secondary. Tony Romo and the Cowboys aren't bad, the teams playing them are just good, although their offensive line and secondary could use some improvement.
Oakland Raiders def. San Diego Chargers
Another game that should have gone the other way. San Diego is just looking horrible at times, especially on special teams. You can't blame it all on special teams, though, as the Chargers defense got gouged on the ground. Still, for a team with this much expectation the Chargers really need to show more discipline.
Philadelphia Eagles def. San Francisco 49ers
The offense is clearly to blame in this loss. Not only did the San Fran defense come up with some big plays that put them in a position to win, but the offense coughed up the ball on multiple occasions and failed to sustain drives. Blame Alex Smith all you want, I though he played well under the circumstances. He was under heavy pressure, his receivers were making key mistakes, and once Singletary got him riled up he showed some poise. I'm putting the blame on Singletary, this team is too good to be where they are right now.
New York Jets def. Minnesota Vikings
What a difference Randy Moss makes. It's still not enough to get them past a good team like the Jets, but I wonder what impact it will have when Minnesota faces their division rivals later in the season.
Jacksonville seems to be a pretty underrated team in terms of stats, they held dynamic rookie C.J. Spiller to 31 yards rushing. They do still have problems, but they won a game everyone expected them to win. Fitzpatrick didn't look bad starting, we'll see if this holds up.
New York Giants def. Houston Texans
The Texans are reliant on long drops, and the Giants know how to victimize teams like that. What's more impressive is that they held Arian Foster to 25 yards. If this team can minimize penalties and mistakes they can make some serious noise down the stretch. Don't panic just yet, Houston fans, there aren't a lot of great secondaries that can stop Matt Schaub like the Giants can.
Kansas City Chiefs def. Indianapolis Colts
What kills me in picks is when teams are perfectly capable of winning a game and just let it slip away. KC showed the weak part of their team, and that's their receiving corps. Key drops could have gotten the Chiefs one of the biggest upsets of the year. The game also showed that their defense still has to play its absolute best to keep up with a QB like Manning, though.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers def. Cincinnati Bengals
Another one of those games that makes picks grueling, the Bengals could've won it if not for three picks by Palmer. Is he really falling off as many are predicting? Who knows, but Josh Freeman is shining an a performance where not only did his opponents gain 50 more yards rushing then his team, but his defense gave up 21 points. The bottom is going to fall out eventually, though, when they play some tougher opponents.
Washington Redskins def. Green Bay Packers
When do I love being wrong? When I pick the Pack to win. Donovan McNabb hasn't lost a step and might even be improving, but the biggest story is the Redskins holding the Pack to 13 points. They'll be right in the division mix near the end of the season if they can keep this up.
Detroit Lions def. St. Louis Rams
Well, the Rams' luck had to run out sometime and the Lions were bound to win one at some point, now can they break last season's record and win two more? It appears Sam Bradford does have a weakness: pressure, and despite Steven Jackson putting on a clinic the Lions were able to shut down the Rams' scoring. Most impressive, though, is that Shaun Hill threw three touchdowns against what is supposed to be an underrated secondary. The jury is still out on the Rams after this game.
Chicago Bears def. Carolina Panthers
A lot of people touted the Bears' rushing performance, but I'm a little more pessimistic as most of those yards came on a handful of big runs. Still, it's something to be optimistic about. I also had an excuse ready for the usual naysayers should they point out what I just mentioned, that the run game would have been more successful in the second half had we been able to throw with any consistency. Cutler coming back will be a huge boon to this team.
Atlanta Falcons def. Cleveland Browns
Pretty textbook here, all the Falcons' playmakers dominated the game as expected.
Baltimore Ravens def. Denver Broncos
I am surprised that Kyle Orton was able to put up as many yards as he did against the Ravens defense, but like I said that Ravens' offense has too many playmakers for an average defense like Denver's to handle.
Arizona Cardinals def. New Orleans Saints
This one is really ridiculous, New Orleans beat Arizona in every category except the one that matters most, final score. Alright, I take that back, they lost the turnover battle which many consider key. Drew Brees threw three interceptions in one game, really? You can't even blame the lack of PT and Reggie Bush, the New Orleans run game completely outperformed that of the Cardinals. The Saints' problems have to be blamed on execution.
Tennessee Titans def. Dallas Cowboys
You can blame it on mistakes all you want, but most of those interceptions were created by a very good and very underrated Titans' secondary. Tony Romo and the Cowboys aren't bad, the teams playing them are just good, although their offensive line and secondary could use some improvement.
Oakland Raiders def. San Diego Chargers
Another game that should have gone the other way. San Diego is just looking horrible at times, especially on special teams. You can't blame it all on special teams, though, as the Chargers defense got gouged on the ground. Still, for a team with this much expectation the Chargers really need to show more discipline.
Philadelphia Eagles def. San Francisco 49ers
The offense is clearly to blame in this loss. Not only did the San Fran defense come up with some big plays that put them in a position to win, but the offense coughed up the ball on multiple occasions and failed to sustain drives. Blame Alex Smith all you want, I though he played well under the circumstances. He was under heavy pressure, his receivers were making key mistakes, and once Singletary got him riled up he showed some poise. I'm putting the blame on Singletary, this team is too good to be where they are right now.
New York Jets def. Minnesota Vikings
What a difference Randy Moss makes. It's still not enough to get them past a good team like the Jets, but I wonder what impact it will have when Minnesota faces their division rivals later in the season.
Saturday, October 9, 2010
NFL Week Five Predictions
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills
Four down, Twelve to go. Jacksonville rides a big win to a not so big one.
Prediction: Jaguars
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
I think that part of the Texans' problem has been that they can't play the short passing game, it's long ball or bust. I think the Giants defense comes out and gets the win in this one.
Prediction: Giants
Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts
This is a very tough pick. On one hand, you can never underestimate Peyton Manning, and the Colts are coming off a tough loss. On the other hand, the Chiefs are playing good defense and running the ball with success. The Colts are horrible against the run, though, and still without most of their offensive starters. Two upsets against Indy in two weeks? It could happen. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals
I'm tempted to take the Bucs here, I know I swore off the Bengals after last week and Josh Freeman has been playing week this season. The Bucs have taken it to good teams like the Steelers, but with Ced Benson in the Bengals' backfield and the Bucs managing a measly 3.4 yards per carry I have to go with the Bengals to bounce back.
Prediction: Bengals
Green Bay Packers @ Washington Redskins
This pick is a dilemma. Statistically, I shouldn't pick the Redskins, they're horrible against the pass and Green Bay is pretty good. Still, the Lions successfully drove through the air against Green Bay, and Washington put on a clinic against the Eagles passing. I'm going to entertain my sensible side for once, though, and go with the cheeseheads to beat the Skins. Donovan McNabb's performance could be what we should expect out of him all season, or it could have been a one-time statement game. I'll expect the latter and hope for the former, at least against Green Bay.
Prediction: Packers
St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions
Both teams are banged up, but with Steven Jackson coming back and many of Detroit's starters listed as questionable I have to go with the red hot Rams. Three in a row? I definitely thought that the Lions would be the ones doing better at this point in the season.
Prediction: Rams
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers
I'm back and forth on this one, back and forth. I don't want to turn into one of those people that picks their home team every time, but I do believe the Bears have a decent chance of winning this one. Jimmy Clausen has struggled, and that should continue against Peppers and this pass rush. I fully expect the Bears to play the run better and contain Carolina's backfield. If Cutler was in I'd go with Chicago no question, but with Collins starting and the offense needing to rely on a running game that hasn't shown up yet I'm skeptical. Still, the Panthers are giving up almost 120 yards per game on the ground, I gotta go with the bears once more.
Prediction: Bears
Atlanta Falcons @ Cleveland Browns
The Browns may have stunned their division rivals, but I don't expect another upset against an Atlanta team that's hitting its stride.
Prediction: Falcons
Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens are first in the league in passing defense, and I expect them to play up to that level even against a high powered attack like that of the Broncos. The Broncos aren't spectacular on defense on either side of the ball, and I expect Flacco and his talented group to pull out the win. The Ravens chances improve if all their running backs are healthy for the full game.
Prediction: Ravens
New Orleans Saints @ Arizona Cardinals
I could see the Saints getting victimized by an upstart team, but I think the more likely scenario is that their young QB gets victimized by this New Orleans defense.
Prediction: Saints
Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys
Both teams play the run very hard, and both teams can pass. This is a tough prediction, but I think CJ2k gives the Titans an edge, and they'll be foaming at the mouth after a close loss last week. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Titans
San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
Both teams are hampered by injuries, but I find Oakland's to be more significant. Most of their linebacking corps is gone, as is Darren McFadden. I wouldn't be surprised by Gradkowski pulling out a win, especially with the up and down play of the Chargers, but I'm not expecting it.
Prediction: Chargers
Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers
I keep asking when the Niners will get over that hump and pull out a close game, well here it is. Kolb is starting, and the Niners' D will finally get a chance to step up against him. Smith is going to have to be careful, though, as their secondary can still hurt them. The Eagles are also without cornerback Asante Samuel, though, and I think the injuries will keep them from a win.
Prediction: 49ers
Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets
This might not be as clear cut as one might think. The Jets will play shut-down defense, that's for sure. The Vikings will also play the run hard, and that could mess with the Jets' gameplan. Will the Jets be able to contain the Vikings' passing game and put Pressure on Brett Favre? With Revis back, I say yes. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Jets
Four down, Twelve to go. Jacksonville rides a big win to a not so big one.
Prediction: Jaguars
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
I think that part of the Texans' problem has been that they can't play the short passing game, it's long ball or bust. I think the Giants defense comes out and gets the win in this one.
Prediction: Giants
Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts
This is a very tough pick. On one hand, you can never underestimate Peyton Manning, and the Colts are coming off a tough loss. On the other hand, the Chiefs are playing good defense and running the ball with success. The Colts are horrible against the run, though, and still without most of their offensive starters. Two upsets against Indy in two weeks? It could happen. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals
I'm tempted to take the Bucs here, I know I swore off the Bengals after last week and Josh Freeman has been playing week this season. The Bucs have taken it to good teams like the Steelers, but with Ced Benson in the Bengals' backfield and the Bucs managing a measly 3.4 yards per carry I have to go with the Bengals to bounce back.
Prediction: Bengals
Green Bay Packers @ Washington Redskins
This pick is a dilemma. Statistically, I shouldn't pick the Redskins, they're horrible against the pass and Green Bay is pretty good. Still, the Lions successfully drove through the air against Green Bay, and Washington put on a clinic against the Eagles passing. I'm going to entertain my sensible side for once, though, and go with the cheeseheads to beat the Skins. Donovan McNabb's performance could be what we should expect out of him all season, or it could have been a one-time statement game. I'll expect the latter and hope for the former, at least against Green Bay.
Prediction: Packers
St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions
Both teams are banged up, but with Steven Jackson coming back and many of Detroit's starters listed as questionable I have to go with the red hot Rams. Three in a row? I definitely thought that the Lions would be the ones doing better at this point in the season.
Prediction: Rams
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers
I'm back and forth on this one, back and forth. I don't want to turn into one of those people that picks their home team every time, but I do believe the Bears have a decent chance of winning this one. Jimmy Clausen has struggled, and that should continue against Peppers and this pass rush. I fully expect the Bears to play the run better and contain Carolina's backfield. If Cutler was in I'd go with Chicago no question, but with Collins starting and the offense needing to rely on a running game that hasn't shown up yet I'm skeptical. Still, the Panthers are giving up almost 120 yards per game on the ground, I gotta go with the bears once more.
Prediction: Bears
Atlanta Falcons @ Cleveland Browns
The Browns may have stunned their division rivals, but I don't expect another upset against an Atlanta team that's hitting its stride.
Prediction: Falcons
Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens are first in the league in passing defense, and I expect them to play up to that level even against a high powered attack like that of the Broncos. The Broncos aren't spectacular on defense on either side of the ball, and I expect Flacco and his talented group to pull out the win. The Ravens chances improve if all their running backs are healthy for the full game.
Prediction: Ravens
New Orleans Saints @ Arizona Cardinals
I could see the Saints getting victimized by an upstart team, but I think the more likely scenario is that their young QB gets victimized by this New Orleans defense.
Prediction: Saints
Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys
Both teams play the run very hard, and both teams can pass. This is a tough prediction, but I think CJ2k gives the Titans an edge, and they'll be foaming at the mouth after a close loss last week. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Titans
San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
Both teams are hampered by injuries, but I find Oakland's to be more significant. Most of their linebacking corps is gone, as is Darren McFadden. I wouldn't be surprised by Gradkowski pulling out a win, especially with the up and down play of the Chargers, but I'm not expecting it.
Prediction: Chargers
Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers
I keep asking when the Niners will get over that hump and pull out a close game, well here it is. Kolb is starting, and the Niners' D will finally get a chance to step up against him. Smith is going to have to be careful, though, as their secondary can still hurt them. The Eagles are also without cornerback Asante Samuel, though, and I think the injuries will keep them from a win.
Prediction: 49ers
Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets
This might not be as clear cut as one might think. The Jets will play shut-down defense, that's for sure. The Vikings will also play the run hard, and that could mess with the Jets' gameplan. Will the Jets be able to contain the Vikings' passing game and put Pressure on Brett Favre? With Revis back, I say yes. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Jets
NFL Week Four Thoughts
Still a few teams out there throwing me for a loss, though I think I'm getting a better handle on some of them. Nothing too out of the ordinary, though I do have some complaints.
New York Jets def. Buffalo Bills
Was anybody really surprised by this one?
Cleveland Browns def. Cincinnati Bengals
This one surprised me, you can't even really blame it on turnovers, though the Bengals had two fumbles. Games like this and the week one loss make me wonder about how long a coach like Marvin Lewis might last.
Baltimore Ravens def. Pittsburgh Steelers
And the AFC North continues to surprise. Still, the Ravens have alleviated any fears their fans had about them stumbling in a year with high expectations.
Denver Broncos def. Tennessee Titans
Some late Kyle Orton magic finally turns a close one in my favor. Who is that Kyle Orton we saw on Sunday, by the way, and where was he during 2005-08? I'm still not sold on him being as good as some are saying, though, I'm going to need to see him play this way a full season before I get on his bandwagon.
Green Bay Packers def. Detroit Lions
I would've gladly taken a loss in pickems to see the Lions beat the Pack at Lambeau. Still, I think the game says more about the Packers than it does about the Lions. Everyone was raving about them going into the season, but they still seem to have the weaknesses that plagued the team in Arizona during last year's playoffs.
Atlanta Falcons def. San Francisco 49ers
Another close one in my favor, though this game perplexed even me. Who are this year's Niners, and will they ever win a close one? When all these losses are coming by close margins the focus naturally shifts tot eh coach. The Falcons could end up making this type of win the theme of the season.
New Orleans Saints def. Carolina Panthers
The Saints are another team making close wins their forté. I would've thought they'd be more dominant against a weak division rival, but their defense did play well nonetheless.
St. Louis Rams def. Seattle Seahawks
The Hawks are hot one day, cold the next. What happened to rookie Earl Thomas in the span of one week? The Hawks will get better with the addition of Lynch, but their up and down nature makes me think they won't contend down the stretch in Carrol's first season. Who knows in the West, though? On the flip side, rookie Sam Bradford is still looking like the best QB to come off the board at number one in a long while.
Jacksonville Jaguars def. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts aren't looking like the clutch team they normally are without all their weapons at receiver. If they don't get healthy fast they could be looking at another upset next week. The Jags shouldn't be celebrating just yet, if I were a Jacksonville fan I'd be wondering why they can't play the way they did against the Colts in every game.
Houston Texans def. Oakland Raiders
Bruce Gradkowski outthrew Matt Schaub? Whoda thunk? Still, the Raiders have problems and the Texans are on a mission this season. They'd better not get too comfortable, though, or they could be looking at another January on the sidelines if the Colts decide to make a run.
Washington Redskins def. Philadelphia Eagles
I based my prediction on Vick being healthy, and I stand by it. I really would have liked to see this game with Vick in the entire time, would've been more interesting. The Eagles are in trouble as long as he's out.
San Diego Chargers def. Arizona Cardinals
Look who decided to show up and play this week, it's the Dr. Jekyll San Diego Chargers!
New York Giants def. Chicago Bears
I have to give credit to the Giants' pass rushers, but we really should've abandoned the deep drops early on. Cutler also wasn't finding open targets, and I think the real stars of the night were the Giants' D-backs keeping our receivers covered and allowing their linemen to get pressure.
I have to go on a mini-rant here, after the loss everyone's talking about how bad the Bears were against the run, after four weeks of being first in the league they're suddenly the worst after one bad game. To me, the Bears defense looked great in that game, you can't ask for more than what they did. They held the Giants to three points for most of the game, they put pressure on Eli and generated turnovers, and they played the way everyone expects a good defense to play. They only broke down against the run in the second half, and that can be attributed to being on the field for so long. The Bears' offense was something like oh for six on third down, they couldn't sustain a drive to save their lives. You can't ask a defense to stay out there that long and constantly get back on the field and still pitch a shutout, they wear down eventually. They're still a great defense, and they'll prove it against DeAngelo Williams in Carolina. Football fans nowadays are deluded by a fantasy-type mindset, all they see are numbers. You have to go beyond that to understand a game.
New England Patriots def. Miami Dolphins
What happened to the Miami defense? What happened to the New England defense? I thought their roles would be flip-flopped, but was I ever wrong. Some of that can be attributed to bad special teams by the Dolphins, but both defenses this year are making a habit of showing up big in certain games and getting burned in others.
New York Jets def. Buffalo Bills
Was anybody really surprised by this one?
Cleveland Browns def. Cincinnati Bengals
This one surprised me, you can't even really blame it on turnovers, though the Bengals had two fumbles. Games like this and the week one loss make me wonder about how long a coach like Marvin Lewis might last.
Baltimore Ravens def. Pittsburgh Steelers
And the AFC North continues to surprise. Still, the Ravens have alleviated any fears their fans had about them stumbling in a year with high expectations.
Denver Broncos def. Tennessee Titans
Some late Kyle Orton magic finally turns a close one in my favor. Who is that Kyle Orton we saw on Sunday, by the way, and where was he during 2005-08? I'm still not sold on him being as good as some are saying, though, I'm going to need to see him play this way a full season before I get on his bandwagon.
Green Bay Packers def. Detroit Lions
I would've gladly taken a loss in pickems to see the Lions beat the Pack at Lambeau. Still, I think the game says more about the Packers than it does about the Lions. Everyone was raving about them going into the season, but they still seem to have the weaknesses that plagued the team in Arizona during last year's playoffs.
Atlanta Falcons def. San Francisco 49ers
Another close one in my favor, though this game perplexed even me. Who are this year's Niners, and will they ever win a close one? When all these losses are coming by close margins the focus naturally shifts tot eh coach. The Falcons could end up making this type of win the theme of the season.
New Orleans Saints def. Carolina Panthers
The Saints are another team making close wins their forté. I would've thought they'd be more dominant against a weak division rival, but their defense did play well nonetheless.
St. Louis Rams def. Seattle Seahawks
The Hawks are hot one day, cold the next. What happened to rookie Earl Thomas in the span of one week? The Hawks will get better with the addition of Lynch, but their up and down nature makes me think they won't contend down the stretch in Carrol's first season. Who knows in the West, though? On the flip side, rookie Sam Bradford is still looking like the best QB to come off the board at number one in a long while.
Jacksonville Jaguars def. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts aren't looking like the clutch team they normally are without all their weapons at receiver. If they don't get healthy fast they could be looking at another upset next week. The Jags shouldn't be celebrating just yet, if I were a Jacksonville fan I'd be wondering why they can't play the way they did against the Colts in every game.
Houston Texans def. Oakland Raiders
Bruce Gradkowski outthrew Matt Schaub? Whoda thunk? Still, the Raiders have problems and the Texans are on a mission this season. They'd better not get too comfortable, though, or they could be looking at another January on the sidelines if the Colts decide to make a run.
Washington Redskins def. Philadelphia Eagles
I based my prediction on Vick being healthy, and I stand by it. I really would have liked to see this game with Vick in the entire time, would've been more interesting. The Eagles are in trouble as long as he's out.
San Diego Chargers def. Arizona Cardinals
Look who decided to show up and play this week, it's the Dr. Jekyll San Diego Chargers!
New York Giants def. Chicago Bears
I have to give credit to the Giants' pass rushers, but we really should've abandoned the deep drops early on. Cutler also wasn't finding open targets, and I think the real stars of the night were the Giants' D-backs keeping our receivers covered and allowing their linemen to get pressure.
I have to go on a mini-rant here, after the loss everyone's talking about how bad the Bears were against the run, after four weeks of being first in the league they're suddenly the worst after one bad game. To me, the Bears defense looked great in that game, you can't ask for more than what they did. They held the Giants to three points for most of the game, they put pressure on Eli and generated turnovers, and they played the way everyone expects a good defense to play. They only broke down against the run in the second half, and that can be attributed to being on the field for so long. The Bears' offense was something like oh for six on third down, they couldn't sustain a drive to save their lives. You can't ask a defense to stay out there that long and constantly get back on the field and still pitch a shutout, they wear down eventually. They're still a great defense, and they'll prove it against DeAngelo Williams in Carolina. Football fans nowadays are deluded by a fantasy-type mindset, all they see are numbers. You have to go beyond that to understand a game.
New England Patriots def. Miami Dolphins
What happened to the Miami defense? What happened to the New England defense? I thought their roles would be flip-flopped, but was I ever wrong. Some of that can be attributed to bad special teams by the Dolphins, but both defenses this year are making a habit of showing up big in certain games and getting burned in others.
Saturday, October 2, 2010
NFL Week Four Predictions
New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills
Three down, thirteen to go.
Prediction: Jets
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns
Bengals are turning it up after a slow start, Browns are living up to their expectations.
Predictions: Bengals
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
This is a tough one to call. I thought Baltimore was going to be on top of the division, but Pittsburgh has really turned up the play on defense. Charlie Batch may have problems, but I think Flacco and that offense will have a down game against a dominant D. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Steelers
Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans
Both defenses are extremely good against the other team's strong points on offense. Will CJ2k be the difference against the Broncos or will Kyle Orton have another 300+ yard game? I wouldn't count on another breakdown like Tennessee took advantage of in New York.
Prediction: Broncos
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
Lions aren't going to beat Green Bay, at Green Bay, after a tough Packers loss.
Prediction: Packers
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
The Niners might make a comeback, but it won't be this week. The Falcons are coming off a big win against the Saints, they're not going to lose at home.
Prediction: Falcons
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
The Saints need a bounceback game, and a weak division rival is just the thing to get them back into it. Panthers are in for a long season.
Prediction: Panthers
Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams
Seahawks are looking really good. I don't see how people are picking a team that beat the Chargers to beat the perennially bad Rams. Rookie Earl Thomas could have a big day, and the Hawks should pull this one out.
Prediction: Seahawks
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
I don't expect the Jaguars to make the most of homefield advantage. They're slumping, and the Colts are not what they need to get back on track.
Prediction: Colts
Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders
I didn't expect the Raiders to win this game before the season started, I don't expect them to win now that the Texans are surging and they're slumping.
Prediction: Texans
Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
I thought the Eagles were going to be bad at the start of the season, but that was before Vick showed up. The Redskins will be tough, but the Eagles have a ton of ways to beat them.
Prediction: Eagles
Arizona Cardinals @ San Diego Chargers
The Chargers are looking to get back on track, and they should against a weak quarterback in Derrick Anderson.
Prediction: Chargers
Chicago Bears @ New York Giants
I had a hard time with this game. Make no mistakes, the Giants will get picks. The problem I had was in part with how they played last week. They'll be better this week, but I'm not going to pick them again until I see some marked improvement. Between that and injuries, plus the ability of the Bears to adjust to different gameplans I still gotta go with my Bears. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Bears
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
The Patriots came within one possession of losing to the Bills, mostly because of C.J. Spiller. The Dolphins have a great running game, and a terrific defense. I think they'll take out the Patriots, and they're my upset of the week.
Prediction: Dolphins
Three down, thirteen to go.
Prediction: Jets
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns
Bengals are turning it up after a slow start, Browns are living up to their expectations.
Predictions: Bengals
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
This is a tough one to call. I thought Baltimore was going to be on top of the division, but Pittsburgh has really turned up the play on defense. Charlie Batch may have problems, but I think Flacco and that offense will have a down game against a dominant D. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Steelers
Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans
Both defenses are extremely good against the other team's strong points on offense. Will CJ2k be the difference against the Broncos or will Kyle Orton have another 300+ yard game? I wouldn't count on another breakdown like Tennessee took advantage of in New York.
Prediction: Broncos
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
Lions aren't going to beat Green Bay, at Green Bay, after a tough Packers loss.
Prediction: Packers
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
The Niners might make a comeback, but it won't be this week. The Falcons are coming off a big win against the Saints, they're not going to lose at home.
Prediction: Falcons
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
The Saints need a bounceback game, and a weak division rival is just the thing to get them back into it. Panthers are in for a long season.
Prediction: Panthers
Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams
Seahawks are looking really good. I don't see how people are picking a team that beat the Chargers to beat the perennially bad Rams. Rookie Earl Thomas could have a big day, and the Hawks should pull this one out.
Prediction: Seahawks
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
I don't expect the Jaguars to make the most of homefield advantage. They're slumping, and the Colts are not what they need to get back on track.
Prediction: Colts
Houston Texans @ Oakland Raiders
I didn't expect the Raiders to win this game before the season started, I don't expect them to win now that the Texans are surging and they're slumping.
Prediction: Texans
Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
I thought the Eagles were going to be bad at the start of the season, but that was before Vick showed up. The Redskins will be tough, but the Eagles have a ton of ways to beat them.
Prediction: Eagles
Arizona Cardinals @ San Diego Chargers
The Chargers are looking to get back on track, and they should against a weak quarterback in Derrick Anderson.
Prediction: Chargers
Chicago Bears @ New York Giants
I had a hard time with this game. Make no mistakes, the Giants will get picks. The problem I had was in part with how they played last week. They'll be better this week, but I'm not going to pick them again until I see some marked improvement. Between that and injuries, plus the ability of the Bears to adjust to different gameplans I still gotta go with my Bears. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Bears
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
The Patriots came within one possession of losing to the Bills, mostly because of C.J. Spiller. The Dolphins have a great running game, and a terrific defense. I think they'll take out the Patriots, and they're my upset of the week.
Prediction: Dolphins
NFL Week Three Thoughts
I thought questions were going to be answered, instead there are more than ever. Who are the Chiefs really, are they just playing bad teams or are they as good as their record? Who are the Giants, or Niners, or Texans for that matter? It's turning out to be a crazy season, but I'll just focus on what I can see.
Kansas City Chiefs def. San Francisco 49ers
I thought I had these teams figured out, but I obviously don't. I'm starting to think KC is the real deal, San Francisco did almost get a win over the defending Superbowl champs. Still, I won't get ahead of myself, both teams could sink or swim going forward.
Dallas Cowboys def. Houston Texans
This is another one I didn't see coming. I expected Dallas to come out of their funk sooner or later, but I didn't expect it to be against the red-hot Texans at home. This makes me wary about Houston going forward, the Cowboys exposed their weakness and that is consistent pressure. Still, they did beat Indy and that counts for something. As for Dallas, no need to get excited yet, they have to win in their division before I get back on their bandwagon.
Tennessee Titans def. New York Giants
The biggest surprise for me in this game was how poorly the Giants played. They gave the game away, made bad mistakes, and were just plain sloppy. I have to think that's not going to be the case going forward, but I'll be worried about picking them until I see improvement.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Who says you need a franchise quarterback to win games? Batch did have a good performance, though some of his throws did make wince. Still, the Steelers are for real. Tampa also didn't look that bad against the Steelers, and Freeman in particular is coming along nicely.
Minnesota Vikings def. Detroit Lions
I'm a little surprised Minnesota was as successful rushing against Detroit as they were, Detroit's been looking good against the run up until now. Minnesota shouldn't get too excited, though, Shaun Hill passed all over them and they still have problems with their passing game.
Atlanta Falcons def. New Orleans Saints
Another game I did not see coming. The Saints might not be as good as I had initially suspected, I expected them to have an easy time with the Falcons. I especially don't expect the Saints to lose when Drew Brees throws for 365 yards. Still, the Saints look like they might have problems against the run. Atlanta proved it can hang with New Orleans, but I wouldn't crown them Division Champs just yet. Their next meeting should be an interesting one.
Baltimore Ravens def. Cleveland Browns
No surprise, the Ravens are good and the Browns are bad.
New England Patriots def. Buffalo Bills
Again, not much of a surprise. C.J. Spiller proved again just how good he is, but that's not news to anyone. The Bills will be a good team when they finally get a quarterback and a line, but right now they're just bad. The game also makes me think New England might not be all they're cracked up to be.
Cincinnati Bengals def. Carolina Panthers
Cincy's back, and Carolina is looking for a new head coach. The AFC North should be an amazing division to watch when the playoff race gets close, the NFC South not so much.
St. Louis Rams def. Washington Redskins
This game was a surprise, but Sam Bradford is earning his first pick pay more than any other player in recent history. When Steven Jackson gets back on track they should start to at least win a couple games, but because he's out the team coming out of this one looking the best is the Redskins. Donovan can carry that team if they give him just a bit more support in key areas.
Philadelphia Eagles def. Jacksonville Jaguars
I said the Eagles were the weakest team in the NFC East going in to the season, but mostly because they had an unproven quarterback. With Michael Vick behind the wheel this offense is clicking in a big way, and the defense ain't playing bad either. The rest of the division should watch out, that is unless Andy Reid decides to put Kolb back in as the starter.
Seattle Seahawks def. San Diego Chargers
The strange thing about this week, you're seeing a lot of quarterbacks throwing for huge yards and leading the game in passing and still coming out on the losing side. The Seahawks are for real, any team that can beat Phillip Rivers on a 400+ yard day is ready to play. If I were San Diego I'd be slightly worried about my pass defense.
Arizona Cardinals def. Oakland Raiders
I've been let down by kickers a bit more often this week than I'd prefer. I stand with my assessment of both teams, they can both win games but will probably finish around the .500 or lower mark.
Indianapolis Colts def. Denver Broncos
Red zone offense was a problem for Denver, though I was impressed at how they played the run. Impressive game by Indy.
New York Jets def. Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins let me down here, but the Jets played a great game. Anyone who's saying they fell off hasn't been watching them play.
Chicago Bears def. Green Bay Packers
There are only two things that could make saying I told you so better, saying it about one of my upset picks and saying it about a Bears win. I get to say it about both, so it's a pretty good week. The thing I like about the Bears, they find ways to win. In the Dallas game they made adjustments, in the Green Bay game they made the most out of every play. They're getting decent pressure on the quarterback and forcing turnovers, that's a formula for success. And to all the cheeseheads saying the Packers gave the game away, there was no question the Bears won that one. Unlike the New York game, the Packers penalties were caused by the Bears, not by stupid mistakes. Most of them were instances of them holding Peppers, which is just as good as a sack. Peppers may not be racking up the sacks, but he's making an impact.
Kansas City Chiefs def. San Francisco 49ers
I thought I had these teams figured out, but I obviously don't. I'm starting to think KC is the real deal, San Francisco did almost get a win over the defending Superbowl champs. Still, I won't get ahead of myself, both teams could sink or swim going forward.
Dallas Cowboys def. Houston Texans
This is another one I didn't see coming. I expected Dallas to come out of their funk sooner or later, but I didn't expect it to be against the red-hot Texans at home. This makes me wary about Houston going forward, the Cowboys exposed their weakness and that is consistent pressure. Still, they did beat Indy and that counts for something. As for Dallas, no need to get excited yet, they have to win in their division before I get back on their bandwagon.
Tennessee Titans def. New York Giants
The biggest surprise for me in this game was how poorly the Giants played. They gave the game away, made bad mistakes, and were just plain sloppy. I have to think that's not going to be the case going forward, but I'll be worried about picking them until I see improvement.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Who says you need a franchise quarterback to win games? Batch did have a good performance, though some of his throws did make wince. Still, the Steelers are for real. Tampa also didn't look that bad against the Steelers, and Freeman in particular is coming along nicely.
Minnesota Vikings def. Detroit Lions
I'm a little surprised Minnesota was as successful rushing against Detroit as they were, Detroit's been looking good against the run up until now. Minnesota shouldn't get too excited, though, Shaun Hill passed all over them and they still have problems with their passing game.
Atlanta Falcons def. New Orleans Saints
Another game I did not see coming. The Saints might not be as good as I had initially suspected, I expected them to have an easy time with the Falcons. I especially don't expect the Saints to lose when Drew Brees throws for 365 yards. Still, the Saints look like they might have problems against the run. Atlanta proved it can hang with New Orleans, but I wouldn't crown them Division Champs just yet. Their next meeting should be an interesting one.
Baltimore Ravens def. Cleveland Browns
No surprise, the Ravens are good and the Browns are bad.
New England Patriots def. Buffalo Bills
Again, not much of a surprise. C.J. Spiller proved again just how good he is, but that's not news to anyone. The Bills will be a good team when they finally get a quarterback and a line, but right now they're just bad. The game also makes me think New England might not be all they're cracked up to be.
Cincinnati Bengals def. Carolina Panthers
Cincy's back, and Carolina is looking for a new head coach. The AFC North should be an amazing division to watch when the playoff race gets close, the NFC South not so much.
St. Louis Rams def. Washington Redskins
This game was a surprise, but Sam Bradford is earning his first pick pay more than any other player in recent history. When Steven Jackson gets back on track they should start to at least win a couple games, but because he's out the team coming out of this one looking the best is the Redskins. Donovan can carry that team if they give him just a bit more support in key areas.
Philadelphia Eagles def. Jacksonville Jaguars
I said the Eagles were the weakest team in the NFC East going in to the season, but mostly because they had an unproven quarterback. With Michael Vick behind the wheel this offense is clicking in a big way, and the defense ain't playing bad either. The rest of the division should watch out, that is unless Andy Reid decides to put Kolb back in as the starter.
Seattle Seahawks def. San Diego Chargers
The strange thing about this week, you're seeing a lot of quarterbacks throwing for huge yards and leading the game in passing and still coming out on the losing side. The Seahawks are for real, any team that can beat Phillip Rivers on a 400+ yard day is ready to play. If I were San Diego I'd be slightly worried about my pass defense.
Arizona Cardinals def. Oakland Raiders
I've been let down by kickers a bit more often this week than I'd prefer. I stand with my assessment of both teams, they can both win games but will probably finish around the .500 or lower mark.
Indianapolis Colts def. Denver Broncos
Red zone offense was a problem for Denver, though I was impressed at how they played the run. Impressive game by Indy.
New York Jets def. Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins let me down here, but the Jets played a great game. Anyone who's saying they fell off hasn't been watching them play.
Chicago Bears def. Green Bay Packers
There are only two things that could make saying I told you so better, saying it about one of my upset picks and saying it about a Bears win. I get to say it about both, so it's a pretty good week. The thing I like about the Bears, they find ways to win. In the Dallas game they made adjustments, in the Green Bay game they made the most out of every play. They're getting decent pressure on the quarterback and forcing turnovers, that's a formula for success. And to all the cheeseheads saying the Packers gave the game away, there was no question the Bears won that one. Unlike the New York game, the Packers penalties were caused by the Bears, not by stupid mistakes. Most of them were instances of them holding Peppers, which is just as good as a sack. Peppers may not be racking up the sacks, but he's making an impact.
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