AFC North
Cincinnati Bengals
Predicted Record: 11-5
Final Record: 4-12
Another first to worst team? How does that happen? Honestly, the Bengals were a mystery to me this season. They were actually getting players back from injury and they put up a worse record. Part of it can be blamed on Carson Palmer, but this is a team that at times looked like they just did not want to win.
Cleveland Browns
Predicted Record: 5-11
Final Record: 5-11
Hey, right on the money, what do I win? Of course, I did predict they'd finish last and not third, and I'm sure the games I thought they'd win did not coincide with the games they did win, but hey how often does someone hit a number dead on like that? Things are looking good for Cleveland if they can keep up the forward momentum.
Baltimore Ravens
Predicted Record: 13-3
Final Record: 12-4
I was damn close with a lot of these AFC North teams. What surprised me about this season wasn't necessarily anything the Ravens did, it was what the Steelers did. The Ravens' season played out just about exactly as I envisioned.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Predicted Record: 7-9
Final Record: 12-4
I didn't think the Steelers had improved that much from last season, I was wrong. I was surprised that they went 3-1 in the games that Ben was absent, and after that I was even more surprised that a team that went 3-1 during that stretch actually lost some of the games they did once they got their starting QB back. Pittsburgh was an enigma to me this season.
AFC East
Buffalo Bills
Predicted Record: 0-16
Final Record: 4-12
I will admit this was a bold prediction from the start, but for a while it looked like it just might come true. The Bills actually surprised me a bit by playing all their games hard and winning against some teams I thought would steamroll them, notably Detroit. They still have a huge lack of talent, though, and they need an impressive offseason to keep pace in a competitive division.
Miami Dolphins
Predicted Record: 8-8
Final Record: 7-9
Actually not too shabby here. I think I actually had higher expectations for the team going in as far as how competitive they'd play, but their schedule was killer.
New York Jets
Predicted Record: 14-2
Final Record: 11-5
I think I both underestimated New England and overestimated the Jets. The Jets had the superior team on paper going in, it goes to show big names don't always translate into the best team on the field. They have some major questions on offense going forward, and getting a big receiver would definitely be a boon.
New England Patriots
Predicted Record: 12-4
Final Record: 14-2
Again, early in the season it looked like I might be right. The Pats turned their up and down season around extremely fast, though, and emerged as one of the favorites headed into the postseason. Their success can probably be attributed in part to the contributions of their rookies. Say what you want about Belichick, he's doing something right.
AFC South
Tennessee Titans
Predicted Record: 7-9
Final Record: 6-10
I think most people saw this coming. Tennessee's defense has dropped off considerably from three years ago and their offense simply can't keep up. They have some work to do on both sides of the ball.
Houston Texans
Predicted Record: 10-4
Final Record: 6-10
The Texans looked impressive going into the season and through the first few weeks. What a major disappointment the season turned out to be, however, after they beat the Colts on opening day. Injuries were a factor, but you cannot let your defense drop off that much because of one player going down. They have a lot to prove after this past season.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Predicted Record: 5-11
Final Record: 8-8
This team was a surprise. I knew they had talent between David Garrard and Maurice Jones-Drew, but what surprised me was how the other players helped them succeed. Their receiving corps especially didn't look like anything special going in, but proved to be a fairly strong spot. Their defense also looked a little thin, and while they do still have problems they kept the team in a lot of games. The biggest surprise, at the end of the season, was that they had the Colts dead to rights and simply let the division crown slip away.
Indianapolis Colts
Predicted Record: 10-6
Final Record: 10-6
Right on the money again. I think what this season proved is that Peyton Manning is human after all, especially when he has inexperienced receivers on the field. It also proved that the run game is still vital even with an elite QB on the field, even more so. Indy's opponents ran the ball to keep Peyton off the field and Indy could not run the ball when their opponents locked down the passing game. This is a passing league? Please.
AFC West
Denver Broncos
Predicted Record: 4-12
Final Record: 4-12
I should find some way to make money off of this. I thought from the start that McDaniels was going about running this team all wrong. I'll give him credit, I think the amazing stats that Orton put up were due in part to him, quarterbacks just have huge stats with McDaniels' system. Still, he wasn't ready to run a team, and his failures running the ball and on defense show that. Again, passing league?
Oakland Raiders
Predicted Record: 9-7
Final Record: 8-8
The Raiders were hard to get a handle on this season. Some games they would come out and amaze me, then next week they'd put up a stinker, then the next they'd pull off an upset. Still, this season was an improvement and the firing of Tom Cable is just another indicator of Al Davis' inability to run a team.
San Diego Chargers
Predicted Record: 10-6
Final Record: 9-7
Given the way they got manhandled by their division opponents this season, I'm surprised the Chargers won as many games as they did. There's no reason they shouldn't have taken the division, they have the talent. Frankly, I think Turner should be gone after how this season played out, but at the very least he should be in a hotseat position this upcoming year.
Kansas City Chiefs
Predicted Record: 4-12
Final Record: 10-6
Now I will grant that I was way off on the record here, but I was about the only person talking up the Chiefs in the offseason. I was saying how good their defense looked, how they had an amazing running game. The things that surprised me, first off how well their areas of weakness played, notably receivers. Like Jacksonville, what appeared to be a weak spot going in turned out to be an area of strength with Dwayne Bowe having an amazing season. Two, how much their division rivals fell off. I knew the Broncos were on a downslide, but I thought the Chargers would at least hold on to their division crown another season. I can't take this as a complete told-you-so, but it's close enough for me.
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Sunday, February 20, 2011
NFL 2010 Season Wrap-Up Part One: The NFC
This is actually long past due as the season ended quite a while ago. However, I have been in a football funk since the Packers won the Super Bowl (damn Packers), so now I have finally gotten over it and around to getting this post done. I swear, as soon as I get my next post up (I should really be focusing on the Bulls a lot more with the season they're having) I'll get the background changed.
Anyways, before the season started I put up predictions of the records I thought each team would finish with, and the playoff picture. Records, in my opinion, are damn near impossible to predict, so seeing how wrong I was about those will be a humorous endeavor to me. The playoffs and how some teams finished, however, is a different story. Personally, there were a lot of surprises here for me.
Pre-Season Predictions:
NFC North
Minnesota Vikings
Predicted Record: 10-6
Final Record: 6-10
The biggest surprise here was the Vikings. How does a team with Brett Favre and Adrian Peterson put up a sub-.500 record? Did you know they technically finished in last place because they tied with the Lions and the Lions owned the tiebreaker? From first to worst without a lot of personnel subtractions, that's disappointing. Injuries played a part, but I think the big story here is that Favre was on his way out even near the beginning of the season.
Detroit Lions
Predicted Record: 4-12
Final Record: 6-10
The Lions were also surprising. Ndamukong Suh was a standout, and the Lions got great production from Jahvid Best. I knew at the beginning of the season that the Lions would improve, but how much they improved is what surprised me most. They moved out of the cellar, and if not for injuries I think would have been even better. If they can stay healthy and have an offseason half as good as last year's then they will be a force.
Green Bay Packers
Predicted Record: 8-8
Final Record: 10-6
Oh, you're crazy predicting the Packers to go 8-8 everyone said at the beginning of the season. 13-3 everyone said they would go, easily. Oh really, you want to know how much I was off by? Two games, the same amount I was off by when I said the Bears would go 9-7 and get a wild card. Look, I've said all season that you are what your record says you are and I stand by that. Green Bay was a winning team, even without the Super Bowl 10-6 is nothing to snuff at. The way people have been talking about the Packers, though, and continue to talk about them you'd think they were the greatest thing to hit the field since the forward pass was invented. You know what this season proved to me? This is still the NFL, things are always going to be close and competitive, and no team is ever going to be as good as Green Bay's sycophants have made them out to be. But don't say I don't give credit where credit is due, they won the Super Bowl, they won four playoff games. It's hard to overestimate a team that does that, but somehow the sports media has managed to do just that.
Chicago Bears
Predicted Record: 9-7
Final Record: 11-5
And then we get to da Bears! Here's my big told you so moment, they were predicted to be third place at best, AT BEST. I said they would make the playoffs this year, I said they were going to go 9-7, and instead they went 11-5. If anything, I was listening to what other people were saying too much by making them the wild card pick. I took an attitude of tempering my expectations for each team against the general consensus, I think in the future I'll ease up on that, although I won't do away with it completely.
NFC East
Washington Redskins
Predicted Record: 8-8
Final Record: 6-10
Okay, I'll admit it, the NFC East has proven to be a big embarrassment for me this season. In my defense, a lot of things changed between when I made these predictions and when certain teams' fortunes began to change. The Redskins were looking good at times during the season. Ryan Torrain was looking like a beast of a running back, if he and Portis can stay healthy a full season the Redskins will be in good shape. They've got a lot of holes to fill, but they aren't as far removed from being competitive as many people make them out to be. Of course, if they could find some stability at quarterback they might look a lot better to more analysts.
Dallas Cowboys
Predicted Record: 10-6
Final Record: 6-10
I was pretty surprised by the Cowboys this season, but in my defense so was everybody else. Specifically, how did that defense fall off like it did? They retained a lot of the same players that played well for them the year before, but for some reason they just came apart. It looks like Jason Garrett has that unit back in line, though, so Cowboys fans have reason for hope. Frankly, I'd be more concerned about the offense. Their three-headed monster of a run game didn't get anywhere for most of the season, though that can be attributed in part to Wade Phillips. I think their biggest issue going into next season is the line, both in run blocking and protection.
New York Giants
Predicted Record: 14-2
Final Record: 10-6
I stand by prediction here for a number of reasons. Okay, maybe 14-2 was a bit unrealistic, but hear me out. One, the Eagles looked downright sorry at times, specifically before Vick was named the starter. Even after that they lost some close games, but my point is the Eagles had a great turnaround in large part because of a move that was made during the course of the regular season. Two, the Eagles won the division by tiebreaker, one more game and the Giants would have been champions. In fact, one more Bears' win and the Giants are in the playoffs while the Packers are out. I predicted the Giants would win the division because of their defense, and I wasn't wrong. Their defense played lights out, but injuries on offense kept them from winning some big games. A lot of teams can talk about injuries, but when a few points can mean the difference between a postseason berth and sitting at home I think injuries become much more of a legitimate excuse.
Philadelphia Eagles
Predicted Record: 3-13
Final Record: 10-6
Okay, like the Giants I was way off with the record. however, I still think the Eagles looked like a third or fourth place team without Vick. Their defense was, again, very underwhelming. They struggled at times stopping teams, and if not for Vick's ability to drive his team upfield they might not have won many of those games. A lot of people like Kevin Kolb, but with him under center I doubt that Philly makes the playoffs.
NFC South
Carolina Panthers
Predicted Record: 3-13
Final Record: 2-14
Wow, was I close on this one. To be fair to the Panthers, injuries did play somewhat of a role. Still, they were playing with basically nothing but young, unproven players. Even if DeAngelo stays healthy all season, you're still a one-dimensional team.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Predicted Record: 2-14
Final Record: 10-6
I attribute my mistake here to thinking that the Saints and Falcons could not be toppled by the Bucs. I was wrong, and I admit I underestimated this team. That being said, I did say they would finish in third place.
New Orleans Saints
Predicted Record: 14-2
Final Record: 11-5
I'll admit I might have underestimated Atlanta a little, but I sincerely thought New Orleans was going to be better, especially on defense. They showed flashes, Alex Brown and Will Smith are a great tandem, but needed a little more consistency. If they had stayed healthier at Running back they would have won more games, but enough to topple Atlanta? Who knows.
Atlanta Falcons
Predicted Record: 9-7
Final Record: 13-3
I'll admit they surprised me this season, especially their pass rush. Still, just when I was becoming sold on just how good they were, they go and put up a stinker at home against the Pack. I was right to have reservations, wrong on when and how strong.
NFC West
Arizona Cardinals
Predicted Record: 8-8
Final Record: 5-11
Here is another case of me listening too much to other people. Still, their defense was impressive again this season. I guess I imagined Derek Anderson doing slightly better than he did. This team is still one QB away from the playoffs.
San Francisco 49ers
Predicted Record: 13-3
Final Record: 6-10
I'm calling this my biggest blunder of the offseason predictions. I still think this team had the talent to do a lot more, I just don't think Singletary was doing an effective job coaching. Don't give up on any of these players yet, not even Alex Smith. He's never going to be a franchise QB, but he's one that can win games, especially with a decent coach like Harbaugh behind him.
St. Louis Rams
Predicted Record: 2-14
Final Record: 7-9
How about those Rams? I never thought they would see a turnaround like that, my days of underestimating them are done.
Seattle Seahawks
Predicted Record: 5-11
Final Record: 7-9
I don't like calling teams lucky, again you are what your record says you are, but I really feel like the Rams had a good chance of knocking Seattle out on a couple of occasions. Pete Carroll had better not rest on his laurels this offseason because the Rams are itching to restore some credibility to this division.
Anyways, before the season started I put up predictions of the records I thought each team would finish with, and the playoff picture. Records, in my opinion, are damn near impossible to predict, so seeing how wrong I was about those will be a humorous endeavor to me. The playoffs and how some teams finished, however, is a different story. Personally, there were a lot of surprises here for me.
Pre-Season Predictions:
NFC North
Minnesota Vikings
Predicted Record: 10-6
Final Record: 6-10
The biggest surprise here was the Vikings. How does a team with Brett Favre and Adrian Peterson put up a sub-.500 record? Did you know they technically finished in last place because they tied with the Lions and the Lions owned the tiebreaker? From first to worst without a lot of personnel subtractions, that's disappointing. Injuries played a part, but I think the big story here is that Favre was on his way out even near the beginning of the season.
Detroit Lions
Predicted Record: 4-12
Final Record: 6-10
The Lions were also surprising. Ndamukong Suh was a standout, and the Lions got great production from Jahvid Best. I knew at the beginning of the season that the Lions would improve, but how much they improved is what surprised me most. They moved out of the cellar, and if not for injuries I think would have been even better. If they can stay healthy and have an offseason half as good as last year's then they will be a force.
Green Bay Packers
Predicted Record: 8-8
Final Record: 10-6
Oh, you're crazy predicting the Packers to go 8-8 everyone said at the beginning of the season. 13-3 everyone said they would go, easily. Oh really, you want to know how much I was off by? Two games, the same amount I was off by when I said the Bears would go 9-7 and get a wild card. Look, I've said all season that you are what your record says you are and I stand by that. Green Bay was a winning team, even without the Super Bowl 10-6 is nothing to snuff at. The way people have been talking about the Packers, though, and continue to talk about them you'd think they were the greatest thing to hit the field since the forward pass was invented. You know what this season proved to me? This is still the NFL, things are always going to be close and competitive, and no team is ever going to be as good as Green Bay's sycophants have made them out to be. But don't say I don't give credit where credit is due, they won the Super Bowl, they won four playoff games. It's hard to overestimate a team that does that, but somehow the sports media has managed to do just that.
Chicago Bears
Predicted Record: 9-7
Final Record: 11-5
And then we get to da Bears! Here's my big told you so moment, they were predicted to be third place at best, AT BEST. I said they would make the playoffs this year, I said they were going to go 9-7, and instead they went 11-5. If anything, I was listening to what other people were saying too much by making them the wild card pick. I took an attitude of tempering my expectations for each team against the general consensus, I think in the future I'll ease up on that, although I won't do away with it completely.
NFC East
Washington Redskins
Predicted Record: 8-8
Final Record: 6-10
Okay, I'll admit it, the NFC East has proven to be a big embarrassment for me this season. In my defense, a lot of things changed between when I made these predictions and when certain teams' fortunes began to change. The Redskins were looking good at times during the season. Ryan Torrain was looking like a beast of a running back, if he and Portis can stay healthy a full season the Redskins will be in good shape. They've got a lot of holes to fill, but they aren't as far removed from being competitive as many people make them out to be. Of course, if they could find some stability at quarterback they might look a lot better to more analysts.
Dallas Cowboys
Predicted Record: 10-6
Final Record: 6-10
I was pretty surprised by the Cowboys this season, but in my defense so was everybody else. Specifically, how did that defense fall off like it did? They retained a lot of the same players that played well for them the year before, but for some reason they just came apart. It looks like Jason Garrett has that unit back in line, though, so Cowboys fans have reason for hope. Frankly, I'd be more concerned about the offense. Their three-headed monster of a run game didn't get anywhere for most of the season, though that can be attributed in part to Wade Phillips. I think their biggest issue going into next season is the line, both in run blocking and protection.
New York Giants
Predicted Record: 14-2
Final Record: 10-6
I stand by prediction here for a number of reasons. Okay, maybe 14-2 was a bit unrealistic, but hear me out. One, the Eagles looked downright sorry at times, specifically before Vick was named the starter. Even after that they lost some close games, but my point is the Eagles had a great turnaround in large part because of a move that was made during the course of the regular season. Two, the Eagles won the division by tiebreaker, one more game and the Giants would have been champions. In fact, one more Bears' win and the Giants are in the playoffs while the Packers are out. I predicted the Giants would win the division because of their defense, and I wasn't wrong. Their defense played lights out, but injuries on offense kept them from winning some big games. A lot of teams can talk about injuries, but when a few points can mean the difference between a postseason berth and sitting at home I think injuries become much more of a legitimate excuse.
Philadelphia Eagles
Predicted Record: 3-13
Final Record: 10-6
Okay, like the Giants I was way off with the record. however, I still think the Eagles looked like a third or fourth place team without Vick. Their defense was, again, very underwhelming. They struggled at times stopping teams, and if not for Vick's ability to drive his team upfield they might not have won many of those games. A lot of people like Kevin Kolb, but with him under center I doubt that Philly makes the playoffs.
NFC South
Carolina Panthers
Predicted Record: 3-13
Final Record: 2-14
Wow, was I close on this one. To be fair to the Panthers, injuries did play somewhat of a role. Still, they were playing with basically nothing but young, unproven players. Even if DeAngelo stays healthy all season, you're still a one-dimensional team.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Predicted Record: 2-14
Final Record: 10-6
I attribute my mistake here to thinking that the Saints and Falcons could not be toppled by the Bucs. I was wrong, and I admit I underestimated this team. That being said, I did say they would finish in third place.
New Orleans Saints
Predicted Record: 14-2
Final Record: 11-5
I'll admit I might have underestimated Atlanta a little, but I sincerely thought New Orleans was going to be better, especially on defense. They showed flashes, Alex Brown and Will Smith are a great tandem, but needed a little more consistency. If they had stayed healthier at Running back they would have won more games, but enough to topple Atlanta? Who knows.
Atlanta Falcons
Predicted Record: 9-7
Final Record: 13-3
I'll admit they surprised me this season, especially their pass rush. Still, just when I was becoming sold on just how good they were, they go and put up a stinker at home against the Pack. I was right to have reservations, wrong on when and how strong.
NFC West
Arizona Cardinals
Predicted Record: 8-8
Final Record: 5-11
Here is another case of me listening too much to other people. Still, their defense was impressive again this season. I guess I imagined Derek Anderson doing slightly better than he did. This team is still one QB away from the playoffs.
San Francisco 49ers
Predicted Record: 13-3
Final Record: 6-10
I'm calling this my biggest blunder of the offseason predictions. I still think this team had the talent to do a lot more, I just don't think Singletary was doing an effective job coaching. Don't give up on any of these players yet, not even Alex Smith. He's never going to be a franchise QB, but he's one that can win games, especially with a decent coach like Harbaugh behind him.
St. Louis Rams
Predicted Record: 2-14
Final Record: 7-9
How about those Rams? I never thought they would see a turnaround like that, my days of underestimating them are done.
Seattle Seahawks
Predicted Record: 5-11
Final Record: 7-9
I don't like calling teams lucky, again you are what your record says you are, but I really feel like the Rams had a good chance of knocking Seattle out on a couple of occasions. Pete Carroll had better not rest on his laurels this offseason because the Rams are itching to restore some credibility to this division.
Friday, February 18, 2011
R.I.P. Dave Duerson
Former Bears Safety and member of the 1985 Championship Dave Duerson was found dead in his home today. Duerson was drafted by the Bears in 1983 and went to four consecutive Pro Bowls from 1985-1988. In 1986 he set a then NFL record seven sacks by a defensive back and had six interceptions. In addition, Duerson played on two Super Bowl winning teams, the Bears in Super Bowl XX and the Giants in Super Bowl XXV.
Career Stats
Games Started: 160
Sacks: 16
Interceptions: 20
Comb. interception and fumble return yards: 264
Career Stats
Games Started: 160
Sacks: 16
Interceptions: 20
Comb. interception and fumble return yards: 264
Quarterback Controversies
I'll start off by saying that I don't have all that much to say about the Super Bowl. In fact, I've been almost completely avoiding football since the Super Bowl, I just can't take all the hype surrounding Green Bay. It's hard to overhype a Super Bowl Champion team, but somehow the sports press is managing to do it. Green Bay's already the favorite by many to win the Super Bowl next year, and Chicago is already being predicted as a flash in the pan. Wait and see, though, wait and see. Frankly, in my mind, the favorite to win our division is neither team, it's Detroit (you heard it here first). They have a lot of explosive playmakers on offense, and if they can stay healthy on that side they'll be dangerous. Their defense looks to be absolutely dominant. Suh had an amazing rookie season, Vaden Bosch was as good as ever, and the other ends they rotated in performed above expectations as well. Not to mention, they came very close to beating Green Bay once and actually did beat them in the second game. They'll be dangerous next year, count on it.
So if you want to crown the Packers' asses then crown their asses, but Rashard let them off the hook. Sorry to hate on the hometown man, but he is the goat of that game. A win is still a win is still a win, but next time a Green Bay fan complains about the Packers losing because of penalties or turnovers I'll be quick to point out how Green Bay has won some big games the same way. Anyways, enough about the wet dream team. A big issue for many teams this offseason is quarterback and every analyst is throwing around speculation about this team and that team. I'll break down the individual teams, but I'll first say that a change might not be a good thing. There are a couple of teams, Cleveland and Carolina in particular, that have some young quarterbacks who show potential. They may not be performing at the same level as, say, Sam Bradford, but not every QB coming out of college is going to take a sub-.500 team from the previous season on a playoff run in their first season. Maybe this isn't the in vogue opinion in the NFL right now, but spending high-round draft picks on quarterback year might not be the greatest idea. Developing young quarterbacks and focusing on positions of need in the draft may not be the flashy move, but in many cases it's the right one. Enough of the generalities, though, and let's get to specific teams.
Arizona Cardinals
This is one team that I don't think has a viable option at quarterback right now. Anderson's best years are behind him, and Skelton and Hall still have a lot to prove, even if they are at least a step up from Matt Leinart. Arizona is a team that is built to win now, so if anyone should go for a solution via trade or free agency it should be them. Two names they should consider are Donovan McNabb and Kevin Kolb, either would be a big boost to their team. Marc Bulger is another possibility, but honestly, considering how long its been since he's been relevant in St. Louis, I'd prefer one of the former two. The draft is also a possibility, but I think Arizona is in a better position to acquire a QB elsewhere as opposed to taking a chance in the draft. Kolb and McNabb are simply safer bets.
Buffalo Bills
This team should consider every option. If McNabb is available, get him. If the asking price for Kolb isn't too high, get him. Hell, maybe even Vince Young is a possibility here. Ryan Fitzpatrick probably has enough trust now to be considered a starting quarterback, but his hold on that title is tentative. Bringing in another quarterback who can compete for the job might be the best option, and if VY doesn't work out you can cut him loose. I did say the draft is an option, but they should try to look at it as a last resort. They have, frankly, one of the least filled-out rosters in the league next to Carolina and need desperately to upgrade at a wealth of positions. The only reason the draft is an option is because if they can't find a quarterback any other way, they at least need to draft one to keep Fitzpatrick on his toes and have some insurance on hand. Brian Bohm and Levi Brown would certainly spell another season of disaster if Fitz went down or had to be pulled.
Carolina Panthers
Why spend draft picks trading for or drafting a quarterback? You took Jimmy Clausen int he second round last year, do you really want to draft a quarterback in back to back years, especially with so many holes on both sides of the ball? You need your picks for other positions, take this year off at quarterback. Give Clausen a full season as starter, put all your support behind him, and if he fails, well, you probably weren't going to win too many games anyways and you can draft a QB next year. If he succeeds and develops into a solid starter, though, you just went from possibly going through years of trying to find the right quarterback to having a starter for years to come. Patience, my young failure of a team, you must learn patience.
Miami Dolphins
You're a wildcat team, how about acquiring a wildcat quarterback? Vince young or Donovan McNabb might do well here, although McNabb is getting less mobile with age. He still knows how to throw it, though, and their offensive line isn't half bad. With a decent running game behind him again, McNabb could do some impressive things. Cam Newton is also intriguing, though he probably won't drop that far.
Minnesota Vikings
They're in trouble. Forgive me for asking, but what about Tavaris Jackson? He seemed to perform well at the end of the season before getting injured, and with the rest of the QBs on the roster you would think keeping him would be a good short-term move. Picking up other teams' scraps might also be a decent move until they can get their hands on another franchise guy. Chad Henne and Marc Bulger could fit well if they're available. Kevin Kolb is another possibility, but do the Vikings have the guts to pull that kind of trade off? Drafting might be out of the question, as many of the big names could be off the board by then. One plus for them is that they don't have a lot of gaping holes at other positions, and therefore can afford to invest in the position.
San Francisco 49ers
What's wrong with Alex Smith? Yes, I know he has struggled at times, but this is one situation where I think standing pat, while unpopular, may be the right move. Can you build a successful team around Alex Smith? Yes. Do you have all the right parts? Yes. Is he going to be a quarterback who pulls it all together? Probably not, but that doesn't matter because you have a pretty good coach coming in who can. I blame last year more on Mike Singletary than Alex Smith and I think Smith has to be given one more chance, if only for the fact that I don't see a whole lot of other viable alternatives out there. Kolb might fit int heir system, but do you really want to pay the asking price for him?
Seattle Seahawks
Either hope that Hasselbeck can stay healthy for another season or try to find a QB somewhere else. Not a lot of options for a team picking as low in the draft as them.
Tennessee Titans
One thing with Tennessee, they don't need a great QB but they could definitely use a mobile one. Of course, they may be plotting to change their offense after the failures of last season, but a mobile QB still seems the best way to complement Chris Johnson. The person who makes the most sense to me, Cam Newton. He might fall to number ten, but if I were the Titans I'd do everything I could to get him on my team. If that means giving up a few later picks to move up, then so be it. Like the Vikings, they can afford it as they don't have a ton of gaping holes at other positions.
Washington Redskins
I know that everyone says the sky is falling, But I say slow down. Frankly, I think they should Keep Donovan, but it doesn't look like that's going to happen. In that case, go with Grossman for a year. Like Alex Smith and Jimmy Clausen he's had problems, but he's also shown some potential. Look, no one is a bigger Grossman detractor than me, but the 2006 season really says everything about him. in some of those games he was amazing, and in some he was downright horrible. If you can get some stability out of him he can at least be a competent starter. Granted, he probably isn't the best suited to a west coast offense, but I don't see a lot of alternative for the Redskins. They have too many other holes to fill to be drafting a quarterback or trying to trade for one, they need every pick they can get. Like Clausen, at the very worst you have one bad season and go for a quarterback next year.
So if you want to crown the Packers' asses then crown their asses, but Rashard let them off the hook. Sorry to hate on the hometown man, but he is the goat of that game. A win is still a win is still a win, but next time a Green Bay fan complains about the Packers losing because of penalties or turnovers I'll be quick to point out how Green Bay has won some big games the same way. Anyways, enough about the wet dream team. A big issue for many teams this offseason is quarterback and every analyst is throwing around speculation about this team and that team. I'll break down the individual teams, but I'll first say that a change might not be a good thing. There are a couple of teams, Cleveland and Carolina in particular, that have some young quarterbacks who show potential. They may not be performing at the same level as, say, Sam Bradford, but not every QB coming out of college is going to take a sub-.500 team from the previous season on a playoff run in their first season. Maybe this isn't the in vogue opinion in the NFL right now, but spending high-round draft picks on quarterback year might not be the greatest idea. Developing young quarterbacks and focusing on positions of need in the draft may not be the flashy move, but in many cases it's the right one. Enough of the generalities, though, and let's get to specific teams.
Arizona Cardinals
This is one team that I don't think has a viable option at quarterback right now. Anderson's best years are behind him, and Skelton and Hall still have a lot to prove, even if they are at least a step up from Matt Leinart. Arizona is a team that is built to win now, so if anyone should go for a solution via trade or free agency it should be them. Two names they should consider are Donovan McNabb and Kevin Kolb, either would be a big boost to their team. Marc Bulger is another possibility, but honestly, considering how long its been since he's been relevant in St. Louis, I'd prefer one of the former two. The draft is also a possibility, but I think Arizona is in a better position to acquire a QB elsewhere as opposed to taking a chance in the draft. Kolb and McNabb are simply safer bets.
Buffalo Bills
This team should consider every option. If McNabb is available, get him. If the asking price for Kolb isn't too high, get him. Hell, maybe even Vince Young is a possibility here. Ryan Fitzpatrick probably has enough trust now to be considered a starting quarterback, but his hold on that title is tentative. Bringing in another quarterback who can compete for the job might be the best option, and if VY doesn't work out you can cut him loose. I did say the draft is an option, but they should try to look at it as a last resort. They have, frankly, one of the least filled-out rosters in the league next to Carolina and need desperately to upgrade at a wealth of positions. The only reason the draft is an option is because if they can't find a quarterback any other way, they at least need to draft one to keep Fitzpatrick on his toes and have some insurance on hand. Brian Bohm and Levi Brown would certainly spell another season of disaster if Fitz went down or had to be pulled.
Carolina Panthers
Why spend draft picks trading for or drafting a quarterback? You took Jimmy Clausen int he second round last year, do you really want to draft a quarterback in back to back years, especially with so many holes on both sides of the ball? You need your picks for other positions, take this year off at quarterback. Give Clausen a full season as starter, put all your support behind him, and if he fails, well, you probably weren't going to win too many games anyways and you can draft a QB next year. If he succeeds and develops into a solid starter, though, you just went from possibly going through years of trying to find the right quarterback to having a starter for years to come. Patience, my young failure of a team, you must learn patience.
Miami Dolphins
You're a wildcat team, how about acquiring a wildcat quarterback? Vince young or Donovan McNabb might do well here, although McNabb is getting less mobile with age. He still knows how to throw it, though, and their offensive line isn't half bad. With a decent running game behind him again, McNabb could do some impressive things. Cam Newton is also intriguing, though he probably won't drop that far.
Minnesota Vikings
They're in trouble. Forgive me for asking, but what about Tavaris Jackson? He seemed to perform well at the end of the season before getting injured, and with the rest of the QBs on the roster you would think keeping him would be a good short-term move. Picking up other teams' scraps might also be a decent move until they can get their hands on another franchise guy. Chad Henne and Marc Bulger could fit well if they're available. Kevin Kolb is another possibility, but do the Vikings have the guts to pull that kind of trade off? Drafting might be out of the question, as many of the big names could be off the board by then. One plus for them is that they don't have a lot of gaping holes at other positions, and therefore can afford to invest in the position.
San Francisco 49ers
What's wrong with Alex Smith? Yes, I know he has struggled at times, but this is one situation where I think standing pat, while unpopular, may be the right move. Can you build a successful team around Alex Smith? Yes. Do you have all the right parts? Yes. Is he going to be a quarterback who pulls it all together? Probably not, but that doesn't matter because you have a pretty good coach coming in who can. I blame last year more on Mike Singletary than Alex Smith and I think Smith has to be given one more chance, if only for the fact that I don't see a whole lot of other viable alternatives out there. Kolb might fit int heir system, but do you really want to pay the asking price for him?
Seattle Seahawks
Either hope that Hasselbeck can stay healthy for another season or try to find a QB somewhere else. Not a lot of options for a team picking as low in the draft as them.
Tennessee Titans
One thing with Tennessee, they don't need a great QB but they could definitely use a mobile one. Of course, they may be plotting to change their offense after the failures of last season, but a mobile QB still seems the best way to complement Chris Johnson. The person who makes the most sense to me, Cam Newton. He might fall to number ten, but if I were the Titans I'd do everything I could to get him on my team. If that means giving up a few later picks to move up, then so be it. Like the Vikings, they can afford it as they don't have a ton of gaping holes at other positions.
Washington Redskins
I know that everyone says the sky is falling, But I say slow down. Frankly, I think they should Keep Donovan, but it doesn't look like that's going to happen. In that case, go with Grossman for a year. Like Alex Smith and Jimmy Clausen he's had problems, but he's also shown some potential. Look, no one is a bigger Grossman detractor than me, but the 2006 season really says everything about him. in some of those games he was amazing, and in some he was downright horrible. If you can get some stability out of him he can at least be a competent starter. Granted, he probably isn't the best suited to a west coast offense, but I don't see a lot of alternative for the Redskins. They have too many other holes to fill to be drafting a quarterback or trying to trade for one, they need every pick they can get. Like Clausen, at the very worst you have one bad season and go for a quarterback next year.
Sunday, February 6, 2011
Super Bowl XLV Predictions
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Green Bay Packers
Of all the Superbowl matchups I didn't want to see, this is probably highest on my list. The hated Packers go up against a team that has won twice in the course of the past five years. As much as I hate seeing another dynasty, the hype for the Packers is once again sickening. It seems like anyone who has played them goes into the game as underdogs. Forget that Pittsburgh has the best run defense and one of the best running attacks in the league, plus a fairly decent safety in the backfield as well. James Starks still doesn't impress me as much as he seems to impress everyone else, and Green Bay's run defense has been spotty at times. Green Bay has also had line troubles, and they could have problems against a high-powered blitzing attack. Defense and running win Superbowls, no matter what anyone says, and Pittsburgh has the better of both.
Prediction: Steelers
Of all the Superbowl matchups I didn't want to see, this is probably highest on my list. The hated Packers go up against a team that has won twice in the course of the past five years. As much as I hate seeing another dynasty, the hype for the Packers is once again sickening. It seems like anyone who has played them goes into the game as underdogs. Forget that Pittsburgh has the best run defense and one of the best running attacks in the league, plus a fairly decent safety in the backfield as well. James Starks still doesn't impress me as much as he seems to impress everyone else, and Green Bay's run defense has been spotty at times. Green Bay has also had line troubles, and they could have problems against a high-powered blitzing attack. Defense and running win Superbowls, no matter what anyone says, and Pittsburgh has the better of both.
Prediction: Steelers
NFL Playoffs: Conference Round Thoughts
Green Bay Packers def. Chicago Bears
It was a good game for Green Bay, but I also thought it illustrated once again how wrong the people who overstate their talent are. Green Bay was the better team, there's no denying that, but the way most people talk you'd think they blew the Bears out by fifty points, but it was only a seven point game.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. New York Jets
I don't know if I should be more impressed with the Steelers or surprised by the Jets, but given how the Jets played in the Divisional Round I'll go with the former.
It was a good game for Green Bay, but I also thought it illustrated once again how wrong the people who overstate their talent are. Green Bay was the better team, there's no denying that, but the way most people talk you'd think they blew the Bears out by fifty points, but it was only a seven point game.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. New York Jets
I don't know if I should be more impressed with the Steelers or surprised by the Jets, but given how the Jets played in the Divisional Round I'll go with the former.
Sunday, January 23, 2011
NFL Playoffs: Conference Round Predictions
The Championship games are here, and the Bears are playing for a trip to Dallas!
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears
This could be the biggest Bears-Packers game ever, the first time they've met in the playoffs since 1941. The Packers are on a hot streak, but I sincerely think this is the Bears' time to shine. Everyone's been raving about the Packers since forever, but the Bears have beat them out in a lot of statistical regular season categories. The Bears are also ahead in playoff stats in most areas, including total offense. Cutler and Forte are also getting hot at the right time, and I think the time is right for Lovie Smith's second trip to the Superbowl.
Prediction: Bears
New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers
I don't know why everyone seems to think the Steelers are locks for this game, the Jets shut down Tom Brady, I think they can shut down Big Ben. The Jets executed a successful gameplan against the Steelers earlier this season, and I think they can do so again. Both teams will probably go nowhere on the ground so it will come down to quarterbacks. On that count, I do have more faith in Roethlisberger then Sanchez, but I like the Jets' defense better than the Steelers.
Prediction: Jets
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears
This could be the biggest Bears-Packers game ever, the first time they've met in the playoffs since 1941. The Packers are on a hot streak, but I sincerely think this is the Bears' time to shine. Everyone's been raving about the Packers since forever, but the Bears have beat them out in a lot of statistical regular season categories. The Bears are also ahead in playoff stats in most areas, including total offense. Cutler and Forte are also getting hot at the right time, and I think the time is right for Lovie Smith's second trip to the Superbowl.
Prediction: Bears
New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers
I don't know why everyone seems to think the Steelers are locks for this game, the Jets shut down Tom Brady, I think they can shut down Big Ben. The Jets executed a successful gameplan against the Steelers earlier this season, and I think they can do so again. Both teams will probably go nowhere on the ground so it will come down to quarterbacks. On that count, I do have more faith in Roethlisberger then Sanchez, but I like the Jets' defense better than the Steelers.
Prediction: Jets
NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round Thoughts
Wild week in the playoffs, and I didn't do too well. I think the thing about picking in the playoffs is that all the teams there deserve to be there, and so many times the games come down to intangibles that are so hard to predict. You would think, for example, that the Falcons would have the edge in that category playing at home after a bye, but you would be mistaken.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Baltimore Ravens
This is one of those times when nothing I said was incorrect except the final outcome. Turnovers killed this game for the Ravens, they knew who the Steelers were and they let them off the hook.
Green Bay Packers def. Atlanta Falcons
The biggest surprise of this game was the lack of pressure on the quarterback by Atlanta, and conversely that the Green Bay line held up. Funny that the Atlanta team I was predicting all year finally showed up, only when they were playing the Packers.
Chicago Bears def. Seattle Seahawks
I am finally one hundred percent, completely right about a playoff game, including the outcome. The comeback near the end was a little disconcerting, but the Bears took care of the worst team in history to make the playoffs.
New York Jets def. New England Patriots
Rex Ryan really has Belichick's number, I guess.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Baltimore Ravens
This is one of those times when nothing I said was incorrect except the final outcome. Turnovers killed this game for the Ravens, they knew who the Steelers were and they let them off the hook.
Green Bay Packers def. Atlanta Falcons
The biggest surprise of this game was the lack of pressure on the quarterback by Atlanta, and conversely that the Green Bay line held up. Funny that the Atlanta team I was predicting all year finally showed up, only when they were playing the Packers.
Chicago Bears def. Seattle Seahawks
I am finally one hundred percent, completely right about a playoff game, including the outcome. The comeback near the end was a little disconcerting, but the Bears took care of the worst team in history to make the playoffs.
New York Jets def. New England Patriots
Rex Ryan really has Belichick's number, I guess.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round Predictions
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
I was impressed by Baltimore's win last week. I know a lot of people are down on KC, but they were a good team this season. The Steelers are also impressive, but mostly because of Polamalu. Without him they have struggled, especially their leader Big Ben. Flacco has also had issues this season, but with the Ravens riding the wave from this last win I feel they are in the better position to make a splash. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Ravens
Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons
Green Bay has had some pretty easy wins as of late, I think the trend stops here. Atlanta's pass rush is great this season, and I'd wager the Packers' line will have trouble keeping them at bay. The defense will definitely pose more of a challenge than Philadelphia's, and I doubt we'll see anywhere near the rushing success by Green Bay that we did last week. Michael Turner is also one of the hottest runners in the league right now, and Matt Ryan has what it takes to lead the birds to a conference game. Finally, Atlanta never loses at home, I think the Falcons have a clear upper hand in this one.
Prediction: Falcons
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears
There are games that, as a fan, you know could not have been won. The Patriots game against the Bears this season comes to mind. Then there are others that absolutely kill you because you know they could have been won, like the game against the Seahawks. Don't get me wrong, it was an ugly game by the Bears, but an ugly game they still could have won. Nothing makes me angrier than seeing corner blitzes work on a consistent basis like they did against the Bears, pass to the blitzing side for Christ's sake! This is a different Bears team, though, and I think Mike Martz will have a few new wrinkles for the Seahawks to deal with. Lynch and Williams present matchup problems, rushing defense has been a strength for the Bears yet Lynch is one of the few backs who can do damage against our defense. Still, I doubt we'll see a repeat performance by this Seahawks offense.
Prediction: Bears
New York Jets @ New England Patriots
I talked about Baltimore being hot, well despite having a week off New England is even hotter. Brady is a man on a mission right now, and rookie ballhawk Devin McCourty could present real problems for green quarterback Mark Sanchez. The Jets will have tight coverage, but if anyone can get through it Tom Brady can.
Prediction: Patriots
I was impressed by Baltimore's win last week. I know a lot of people are down on KC, but they were a good team this season. The Steelers are also impressive, but mostly because of Polamalu. Without him they have struggled, especially their leader Big Ben. Flacco has also had issues this season, but with the Ravens riding the wave from this last win I feel they are in the better position to make a splash. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Ravens
Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons
Green Bay has had some pretty easy wins as of late, I think the trend stops here. Atlanta's pass rush is great this season, and I'd wager the Packers' line will have trouble keeping them at bay. The defense will definitely pose more of a challenge than Philadelphia's, and I doubt we'll see anywhere near the rushing success by Green Bay that we did last week. Michael Turner is also one of the hottest runners in the league right now, and Matt Ryan has what it takes to lead the birds to a conference game. Finally, Atlanta never loses at home, I think the Falcons have a clear upper hand in this one.
Prediction: Falcons
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears
There are games that, as a fan, you know could not have been won. The Patriots game against the Bears this season comes to mind. Then there are others that absolutely kill you because you know they could have been won, like the game against the Seahawks. Don't get me wrong, it was an ugly game by the Bears, but an ugly game they still could have won. Nothing makes me angrier than seeing corner blitzes work on a consistent basis like they did against the Bears, pass to the blitzing side for Christ's sake! This is a different Bears team, though, and I think Mike Martz will have a few new wrinkles for the Seahawks to deal with. Lynch and Williams present matchup problems, rushing defense has been a strength for the Bears yet Lynch is one of the few backs who can do damage against our defense. Still, I doubt we'll see a repeat performance by this Seahawks offense.
Prediction: Bears
New York Jets @ New England Patriots
I talked about Baltimore being hot, well despite having a week off New England is even hotter. Brady is a man on a mission right now, and rookie ballhawk Devin McCourty could present real problems for green quarterback Mark Sanchez. The Jets will have tight coverage, but if anyone can get through it Tom Brady can.
Prediction: Patriots
NFL Playoffs: Wild Card Round Thoughts
Wild first round with a lot of unexpected turns, here's what I think:
Seattle Seahawks def. New Orleans Saints
This was a bit of a shocker to me. As I said, the Seahawks have gotten torched by the pass this season and Drew Brees went to town on them. What I didn't expect was that the New Orleans defense was going to be so porous against both the pass and the run. Seattle looked impressive in some regards, but in the words of Denny Green I think New Orleans let them off the hook.
New York Jets def. Indianapolis Colts
I love it when I hit on all the right marks.
Green Bay Packers def. Philadelphia Eagles
I think this is another game where the losers didn''t put their best effort forward. Injuries have something to do with it, and this has to make you wonder if Vick can continue to be an effective NFL quarterback for a full season without injuries. DeSean Jackson is similarly struggling on that front, and without those two this team will struggle. I was very surprised that Green Bay was able to run the ball the way they did, they shouldn't expect similar success against Atlanta. James Starks is not the back everyone makes him out to be, this one-time performance against a questionable defense could be distracting people who are too short-sighted to consider he might be a flash in the pan.
Baltimore Ravens def. Kansas City Chiefs
Everyone's jumping on Matt Cassel for the loss, but this is a hungry Baltimore defense. When turnovers happen the mentality is that the offensive players are at fault, and while that's true in many situations in others it's just a very hungry defense. Baltimore could be dangerous this post-season.
Seattle Seahawks def. New Orleans Saints
This was a bit of a shocker to me. As I said, the Seahawks have gotten torched by the pass this season and Drew Brees went to town on them. What I didn't expect was that the New Orleans defense was going to be so porous against both the pass and the run. Seattle looked impressive in some regards, but in the words of Denny Green I think New Orleans let them off the hook.
New York Jets def. Indianapolis Colts
I love it when I hit on all the right marks.
Green Bay Packers def. Philadelphia Eagles
I think this is another game where the losers didn''t put their best effort forward. Injuries have something to do with it, and this has to make you wonder if Vick can continue to be an effective NFL quarterback for a full season without injuries. DeSean Jackson is similarly struggling on that front, and without those two this team will struggle. I was very surprised that Green Bay was able to run the ball the way they did, they shouldn't expect similar success against Atlanta. James Starks is not the back everyone makes him out to be, this one-time performance against a questionable defense could be distracting people who are too short-sighted to consider he might be a flash in the pan.
Baltimore Ravens def. Kansas City Chiefs
Everyone's jumping on Matt Cassel for the loss, but this is a hungry Baltimore defense. When turnovers happen the mentality is that the offensive players are at fault, and while that's true in many situations in others it's just a very hungry defense. Baltimore could be dangerous this post-season.
Friday, January 7, 2011
NFL Playoffs: Wild Card Round Prediction
Playoffs? Playoffs!?! Yes, Playoffs!!! With the Bears this year!!!
New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks
There are games where I need to go to the stats and games where I don't, this game falls into the latter category. The Seahawks get torched by the pass, the Saints torch people with the pass. This is the matchup from hell for Pete Carroll.
Prediction: Saints
New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts
This is going to be a great game, game of the week material in fact (no sleepers or upsets in the playoffs). First the Jets, they're third in the league in both total defense and rushing defense, and I doubt the Colts will have much success running the ball even with the return of their featured backs. Jets are sixth in the league in passing defense, and in passing touchdowns allowed. If anyone can stop Peyton Manning it's them, the key will be if their defensive backs can cover the Colts receivers.
On the other side, the Colts have struggled against the run. This is a perfect matchup for Rex Ryan, whose Jets runners are very effective at pounding the ball. The Colts have gotten better against the pass and are rushing the passer effectively, but I see their defense struggling too much in this game to win. What do I always say wins Superbowls, despite what others will tell you? Defense and rushing.
Prediction: Jets
Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles
I'm going to go back to week one for this one, Packers at Eagles. The Packers are up 27-10 in the third quarter when Michael Vick comes in and leads the Eagles to unanswered ten points and comes within a hair of sending the game into overtime. It was the rebirth of Michael Vick against a Packers defense that has since sustained heavy injuries. I think Vick is going to put the hurt on the Eagles this Sunday the way he would have if they had started him in week one.
Prediction: Eagles
Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs' resurgence this season has been pretty amazing, I had high expectations for them to being with and I didn't expect they'd make it into the playoffs, much less win their division. Both of these teams have the capability to win, and both have struggled at times. However, I think Baltimore has the experience to win and is coming off a win in the regular season finale. They should have the momentum, and that will turn out to be the difference
Prediction: Ravens
New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks
There are games where I need to go to the stats and games where I don't, this game falls into the latter category. The Seahawks get torched by the pass, the Saints torch people with the pass. This is the matchup from hell for Pete Carroll.
Prediction: Saints
New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts
This is going to be a great game, game of the week material in fact (no sleepers or upsets in the playoffs). First the Jets, they're third in the league in both total defense and rushing defense, and I doubt the Colts will have much success running the ball even with the return of their featured backs. Jets are sixth in the league in passing defense, and in passing touchdowns allowed. If anyone can stop Peyton Manning it's them, the key will be if their defensive backs can cover the Colts receivers.
On the other side, the Colts have struggled against the run. This is a perfect matchup for Rex Ryan, whose Jets runners are very effective at pounding the ball. The Colts have gotten better against the pass and are rushing the passer effectively, but I see their defense struggling too much in this game to win. What do I always say wins Superbowls, despite what others will tell you? Defense and rushing.
Prediction: Jets
Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles
I'm going to go back to week one for this one, Packers at Eagles. The Packers are up 27-10 in the third quarter when Michael Vick comes in and leads the Eagles to unanswered ten points and comes within a hair of sending the game into overtime. It was the rebirth of Michael Vick against a Packers defense that has since sustained heavy injuries. I think Vick is going to put the hurt on the Eagles this Sunday the way he would have if they had started him in week one.
Prediction: Eagles
Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs' resurgence this season has been pretty amazing, I had high expectations for them to being with and I didn't expect they'd make it into the playoffs, much less win their division. Both of these teams have the capability to win, and both have struggled at times. However, I think Baltimore has the experience to win and is coming off a win in the regular season finale. They should have the momentum, and that will turn out to be the difference
Prediction: Ravens
NFL Week Seventeen Thoughts
There's plenty going on in the NFL this time of year, so I'll be adding some year-end commentary where applicable.
Atlanta Falcons def. Carolina Panthers
No surprise on the win by Atlanta. Carolina is a bit of a surprise this year as one of the worst teams. Yes they had a quarterback carousel, but only two seasons removed from being division champs and posting a respectable record last season, the sharp rate of decline is a surprise. Of course injuries and the departure of key free agents contributed to this decline, which is also probably a large part of the reason why John Fox is still a highly sought-after coach. Still, with talented players like Beason still on the team one has to wonder if the worst record in the league is going to hinder Fox's chances of getting a head coaching job. He was probably already on the way out before the season started, but a record like that can't bode well for him despite all the talk of him being in contention for multiple coaching positions.
I was a bit surprised at the Falcons being as dominant as they have been, and a large part of that is because their defense has become so solid after being a point of weakness last year. I also think, though, that the Saints were only hindered due to injury and would have taken the division barring the loss of some of their top players.
Baltimore Ravens def. Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals really came on near the end of the season and started to look like they did last season. Part of that decline is the play of Carson Palmer, but that defense which looked so talented a year ago looked completely flat this year. I can't come up with any other reason than coaching, when you're playing at that level one year and you get your talented players back from injury the next then you should go in completely the opposite direction than what the Bengals did. I like what Lewis has done, though, and I can't say I completely disagree with the decision to retain him. He's now on the hot seat in a very competitive division, though.
The Ravens have been up and down all season. That offense hasn't been anywhere near as high-octane as it was supposed to be, but it has gotten the job done. The defense that everyone annually predicts will decline because of the age of the starters impressed yet again this season, and despite some of them being ugly the Ravens are getting wins. I don't know that they're going to be as dangerous in the postseason as I had initially predicted, though.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Cleveland Browns
What a way to end the season and enter the playoffs. I always think teams are better going into the postseason on a high note, and this bodes well for Pittsburgh. They've also been up and down this season, this defense has been exposed when Polamalu isn't playing. What's surprising, though, is how they can win games despite poor offensive play when he's on the field. They'll be dangerous in the playoffs.
The Browns look pretty promising. Peyton Hillis was a nice acquisition, and they're starting to get a good group of talented players at positions like wideout and linebacker. Another good draft and they should be in a good position to win next year, even despite losing their coach. I've never liked Mangini, not since he was in New York. I disagree with the way he ran the Browns from the start, and it's good they have Holmgren there running the show. I think the Browns would do well to get him as their coach, but that doesn't seem too likely. Still, whomever they get will probably be an upgrade and should have a good group of players to work with. This division could be wide open next year.
Detroit Lions def. Minnesota Vikings
Speaking of a team that's looking good, Detroit could be very dangerous in a very short amount of time. Hell, given their drought I'll even root for them to win the division and the Superbowl next year, and they very well could. Their defensive line has been dangerous, and Suh should be a valuable part of that team for years to come. They had an amazing offseason last year, and if they can do half as good this year I think they'll be favorites to take the North.
Which means we could have a new bottom-feeder. Les Frasier is a nice guy and I hope he does well, but this team could be in rebuilding mode at a bad time. They have a lot of ageing veterans on their team, and if they don't acquire a lot of talent fast, including a starting quarterback, they could be looking at a few years in last place.
Oakland Raiders def. Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland has been so impressive in their wins, which makes me wonder why they lost some of the games that they did. I also wonder why a coach who has posted a better record each year and swept the division is getting canned, that is a huge step backwards for the Raiders. Just as fans start to see light at the end of the tunnel, Cable gets fired and they're back to square one. It would be different if there were a lot of talented coaches available, but right now I see a high demand for the few talented coaches that are there. Even with a less impressive season Cable probably would have been the right man for the job, the way he got his team to where they are now should have secured that position for him. People are saying he could be in demand, but I have my doubts if he would be a fit anywhere else.
New England Patriots def. Miami Dolphins
The Pats are another team that is rolling into the playoffs. They looked almost mortal at the beginning of the season, I'm amazed at the turnaround they've had in recent weeks. Belichick definitely deserves 99% of the credit for this team's success, he is one of the winningest coaches in this league no matter who he puts on the field.
The Dolphins decided to keep Tony Sporano, and that's probably a good idea. This season was a definite disappointment, but the lack of available coaches should be a bigger concern for the Dolphins. Sporano is a known asset and they should be more concerned with keeping up their recent success than gambling on a new coach, especially with all the young players they have.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers def. New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay has been uber-impressive this season, even with a banged-up, young defense they came one win away from the post-season. I would have loved to see them make it, hell I would have loved to see the Giants make it, but this team has promise. Every year a different team wins the NFC South, next year will probably be no different.
The Saints have struggled at times, but they're a good team. Their running backs are dangerous, and Brees is one of the best in the league when he gets hot. I would not want to face them in the post-season, at home or on the road.
New York Jets def. Buffalo Bills
It was good for the Jets to not only win here but to make a statement, that momentum could prove to be a difference-maker int he playoffs. They've surprised me in some of the games they've lost this year, but they've also shown an ability to bounce back against good teams. They should not be counted out in any game they play.
The Bills have really surprised me, I thought they were going to go winless and they ended up getting four wins in the span of six weeks. I thought Chan Gailey was a goner from the start, but there may be promise for him yet. What he needs more than anything is a good draft so that he can get the right players for his system, then this team should start to see some improvement.
San Diego Chargers def. Denver Broncos
San Diego is one team that I thought should have fired their coach. Norv Turner has made the playoffs consistently, but has never gone very far at all once there. Now he's had a team with a lot of talent and completely missed the playoffs inside a weak division. When your quarterback is putting up the numbers that Phillip Rivers is and your team is still losing, there is a problem. Keeping him on only makes the problem worse, Rivers is getting older and it would be better to get a new coach in so that his system has time to develop.
The Broncos are a huge disappointment. In McDaniels' first season everyone was calling me out while they were winning because I had predicted he would crash and burn, then they missed the playoffs and spent this past season losing, and now I get to say I told you so. I will say that I think Orton's numbers are a side-effect of McDaniels' offense (no disrespect to Orton), but you have to be more than a one trick pony to be an NFL head coach. The talent side of this team was out of whack as soon as McDaniels stepped through he door, and what they need more than anything is for someone to restore sanity to this team. They never should have fired Shanahan, and now they could be in a rough position with so few viable options for the coaching position.
Green Bay Packers def. Chicago Bears
What a tough loss for the Bears. Going into the postseason with momentum is important, and it would have been great if they could have knocked the Packers out of the postseason. Still, I thought their defense played impressively, aside from a couple big plays. This past week all everyone was talking about was the Green Bay offense, how they were going to pass all over Chicago, and we held them to ten points. The offense was disappointing, but I think if we meet again that Martz and company will have some new tricks up their sleeve.
Green Bay continues to be the media darling, I think some of these commentators need to just suck a Packers player off already and get it over with. The Green Bay offense continues to not impress me, most of their big plays are a result of defensive players missing tackles or assignments and they have no running game whatsoever. Their defense is what was impressive last Sunday, but we still should have been able to adjust. Their coverage of our receivers was the biggest key to why they won, but key drops were also a big part of that. Overall, though, I think it was a game we should have won. To quote a famous coach whose name I can't remember, "We knew who they were and we let them off the hook!"
Houston Texans def. Jacksonville Jaguars
Isn't that just like me to swear off a team for disappointing me and then have them win a meaningless game at the end of the season. The Texans had a hugely disappointing season after starting off so well, and there is no reason that one defensive player should make that much of a difference when he's not on the field. No offense to DeMeco Ryans, but the defensive coaches need to find a way to make up for his loss when he's not playing. I think Gary Kubiak should have been fired for this season, he's been ont he hot seat forever and he never seems to get canned despite disappointing season after disappointing season. Hiring Wade Phillips could help, but his defense struggled mightily in Dallas this year as well. Next season could be another long season for the Texans.
Jacksonville is taking its fans on a roller-coaster ride. I was dumbfounded when I saw Indianapolis losing tot he Titans and the Jaguars blowing that opportunity by trailing to the Texans. You would think that with the season on the line the Jaguars would play like there's no tomorrow, but they lost to the Texans of all teams. Indianapolis came a field goal away from gifting them a chance to the post-season, and it wouldn't have mattered because they blew it. I'm thinking that Del Rio should be gone after this season. Like Kubiak, he's had one chance too many and come up short too many times. Unlike most other coaches I've mentioned, the Jaguars have a 4-3 personnel and there are plenty of 4-3 coaches out there. I don't know that someone like Tom Cable or John Fox wouldn't be a better fit in Jacksonville.
Indianapolis Colts def. Tennessee Titans
Well, the Titans finally found their passing game, a bit too late if you ask me. I still think they need either a running quarterback or some new offensive weapons combined with some new offensive ideas to be dangerous again. If it's a choice between Young and Fisher, though, Fisher is the right choice hands-down.
The Colts won, but that's not exactly how I'd like to enter the postseason. We've got a rematch from last year coming up, and the Colts' problems could all come to a head. Still, they've improved in recent weeks and the bears gave them the blueprints to beating the Jets with a 4-3, it should be a great game.
Dallas Cowboys def. Philadelphia Eagles
Philly could be in trouble going forward, although I think they had great success against he Packers when Vick went in during the second half of their game earlier in the season and they have a decent chance at getting revenge. It really has been a great season for the team and for Vick especially, and things are looking up for them.
Dallas was always better than their record indicated, it seemed like Phillips just lost control of the team. Jason Garrett has done a great job with them, and I expect them to be a dangerous team again next year.
San Francisco 49ers def. Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco continues to confound me, as do the Cardinals. I guess Alex Smith has finally found his form, during the last few weeks of the season. I think what they need more than anything is a great coach, and they should try to land one of the big names out there right now. Jim Harbaugh would be an excellent fit.
The Cardinals, simply, need a quarterback. Their defense is underrated, Ken Whisenhunt has kept them competitive despite what the record would say. Their defense relied solely on Kurt Warner, though, and they need someone who can claim to be a legitimate starting quarterback to have a chance. Fortunately, there should be some options available this offseason. They'd also do well to solidify their line and get their running game back on track.
New York Giants def. Washington Redskins
The Redskins are on the cusp. I know a lot of people don't give them any respect, but they are so close they can feel it. Injuries really hurt this team, but their primary concern has to be getting better players on offense. Ryan Torrain was a great find and he and Portis should compliment each other nicely. However, they need better receivers and linemen and they need them fast. Grossman could run this team successfully, but he needs protection. McNabb would probably be a better option, but they seem to be at an impasse with him and he needs better weapons at receiver. Their defense looks old, but they kept them in contention in most games. Seven of their wins were by six points or less, and their offense struggled consistently. If they can just jump that last hurdle on offense then their defense should be good enough for them to win.
The Giants are a disappointment, though injuries definitely played a part in that. Talk of firing Tom Coughlin is ridiculous, he's done a great job with this team.
Seattle Seahawks def. St. Louis Rams
What I believe even less than the fact that a 7-9 team will host a playoff game is that the Rams lost to the Seahawks with the season on the line. This season will be a success for Pete Carroll, but I would not be satisfied with it if I were him. He still has some large holes at key positions, and he needs to approach the offseason as a chance to get a lot better no matter how well he does in the playoffs.
The Rams still have problems, that much is obvious. Sam Bradford had a tremendous rookie year, though, probably the best for a quarterback in recent memory. Their defense also impressed statistically, if not in certain key situations. Spagnuolo bought himself some time and proved he can coach a team, but he has to deliver next year. He's on the hot seat, and the expectation is probably 9-7 or better. They can probably do it, though, as they have a lot of good parts in place and only need to supplement them in the offseason.
Atlanta Falcons def. Carolina Panthers
No surprise on the win by Atlanta. Carolina is a bit of a surprise this year as one of the worst teams. Yes they had a quarterback carousel, but only two seasons removed from being division champs and posting a respectable record last season, the sharp rate of decline is a surprise. Of course injuries and the departure of key free agents contributed to this decline, which is also probably a large part of the reason why John Fox is still a highly sought-after coach. Still, with talented players like Beason still on the team one has to wonder if the worst record in the league is going to hinder Fox's chances of getting a head coaching job. He was probably already on the way out before the season started, but a record like that can't bode well for him despite all the talk of him being in contention for multiple coaching positions.
I was a bit surprised at the Falcons being as dominant as they have been, and a large part of that is because their defense has become so solid after being a point of weakness last year. I also think, though, that the Saints were only hindered due to injury and would have taken the division barring the loss of some of their top players.
Baltimore Ravens def. Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals really came on near the end of the season and started to look like they did last season. Part of that decline is the play of Carson Palmer, but that defense which looked so talented a year ago looked completely flat this year. I can't come up with any other reason than coaching, when you're playing at that level one year and you get your talented players back from injury the next then you should go in completely the opposite direction than what the Bengals did. I like what Lewis has done, though, and I can't say I completely disagree with the decision to retain him. He's now on the hot seat in a very competitive division, though.
The Ravens have been up and down all season. That offense hasn't been anywhere near as high-octane as it was supposed to be, but it has gotten the job done. The defense that everyone annually predicts will decline because of the age of the starters impressed yet again this season, and despite some of them being ugly the Ravens are getting wins. I don't know that they're going to be as dangerous in the postseason as I had initially predicted, though.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Cleveland Browns
What a way to end the season and enter the playoffs. I always think teams are better going into the postseason on a high note, and this bodes well for Pittsburgh. They've also been up and down this season, this defense has been exposed when Polamalu isn't playing. What's surprising, though, is how they can win games despite poor offensive play when he's on the field. They'll be dangerous in the playoffs.
The Browns look pretty promising. Peyton Hillis was a nice acquisition, and they're starting to get a good group of talented players at positions like wideout and linebacker. Another good draft and they should be in a good position to win next year, even despite losing their coach. I've never liked Mangini, not since he was in New York. I disagree with the way he ran the Browns from the start, and it's good they have Holmgren there running the show. I think the Browns would do well to get him as their coach, but that doesn't seem too likely. Still, whomever they get will probably be an upgrade and should have a good group of players to work with. This division could be wide open next year.
Detroit Lions def. Minnesota Vikings
Speaking of a team that's looking good, Detroit could be very dangerous in a very short amount of time. Hell, given their drought I'll even root for them to win the division and the Superbowl next year, and they very well could. Their defensive line has been dangerous, and Suh should be a valuable part of that team for years to come. They had an amazing offseason last year, and if they can do half as good this year I think they'll be favorites to take the North.
Which means we could have a new bottom-feeder. Les Frasier is a nice guy and I hope he does well, but this team could be in rebuilding mode at a bad time. They have a lot of ageing veterans on their team, and if they don't acquire a lot of talent fast, including a starting quarterback, they could be looking at a few years in last place.
Oakland Raiders def. Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland has been so impressive in their wins, which makes me wonder why they lost some of the games that they did. I also wonder why a coach who has posted a better record each year and swept the division is getting canned, that is a huge step backwards for the Raiders. Just as fans start to see light at the end of the tunnel, Cable gets fired and they're back to square one. It would be different if there were a lot of talented coaches available, but right now I see a high demand for the few talented coaches that are there. Even with a less impressive season Cable probably would have been the right man for the job, the way he got his team to where they are now should have secured that position for him. People are saying he could be in demand, but I have my doubts if he would be a fit anywhere else.
New England Patriots def. Miami Dolphins
The Pats are another team that is rolling into the playoffs. They looked almost mortal at the beginning of the season, I'm amazed at the turnaround they've had in recent weeks. Belichick definitely deserves 99% of the credit for this team's success, he is one of the winningest coaches in this league no matter who he puts on the field.
The Dolphins decided to keep Tony Sporano, and that's probably a good idea. This season was a definite disappointment, but the lack of available coaches should be a bigger concern for the Dolphins. Sporano is a known asset and they should be more concerned with keeping up their recent success than gambling on a new coach, especially with all the young players they have.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers def. New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay has been uber-impressive this season, even with a banged-up, young defense they came one win away from the post-season. I would have loved to see them make it, hell I would have loved to see the Giants make it, but this team has promise. Every year a different team wins the NFC South, next year will probably be no different.
The Saints have struggled at times, but they're a good team. Their running backs are dangerous, and Brees is one of the best in the league when he gets hot. I would not want to face them in the post-season, at home or on the road.
New York Jets def. Buffalo Bills
It was good for the Jets to not only win here but to make a statement, that momentum could prove to be a difference-maker int he playoffs. They've surprised me in some of the games they've lost this year, but they've also shown an ability to bounce back against good teams. They should not be counted out in any game they play.
The Bills have really surprised me, I thought they were going to go winless and they ended up getting four wins in the span of six weeks. I thought Chan Gailey was a goner from the start, but there may be promise for him yet. What he needs more than anything is a good draft so that he can get the right players for his system, then this team should start to see some improvement.
San Diego Chargers def. Denver Broncos
San Diego is one team that I thought should have fired their coach. Norv Turner has made the playoffs consistently, but has never gone very far at all once there. Now he's had a team with a lot of talent and completely missed the playoffs inside a weak division. When your quarterback is putting up the numbers that Phillip Rivers is and your team is still losing, there is a problem. Keeping him on only makes the problem worse, Rivers is getting older and it would be better to get a new coach in so that his system has time to develop.
The Broncos are a huge disappointment. In McDaniels' first season everyone was calling me out while they were winning because I had predicted he would crash and burn, then they missed the playoffs and spent this past season losing, and now I get to say I told you so. I will say that I think Orton's numbers are a side-effect of McDaniels' offense (no disrespect to Orton), but you have to be more than a one trick pony to be an NFL head coach. The talent side of this team was out of whack as soon as McDaniels stepped through he door, and what they need more than anything is for someone to restore sanity to this team. They never should have fired Shanahan, and now they could be in a rough position with so few viable options for the coaching position.
Green Bay Packers def. Chicago Bears
What a tough loss for the Bears. Going into the postseason with momentum is important, and it would have been great if they could have knocked the Packers out of the postseason. Still, I thought their defense played impressively, aside from a couple big plays. This past week all everyone was talking about was the Green Bay offense, how they were going to pass all over Chicago, and we held them to ten points. The offense was disappointing, but I think if we meet again that Martz and company will have some new tricks up their sleeve.
Green Bay continues to be the media darling, I think some of these commentators need to just suck a Packers player off already and get it over with. The Green Bay offense continues to not impress me, most of their big plays are a result of defensive players missing tackles or assignments and they have no running game whatsoever. Their defense is what was impressive last Sunday, but we still should have been able to adjust. Their coverage of our receivers was the biggest key to why they won, but key drops were also a big part of that. Overall, though, I think it was a game we should have won. To quote a famous coach whose name I can't remember, "We knew who they were and we let them off the hook!"
Houston Texans def. Jacksonville Jaguars
Isn't that just like me to swear off a team for disappointing me and then have them win a meaningless game at the end of the season. The Texans had a hugely disappointing season after starting off so well, and there is no reason that one defensive player should make that much of a difference when he's not on the field. No offense to DeMeco Ryans, but the defensive coaches need to find a way to make up for his loss when he's not playing. I think Gary Kubiak should have been fired for this season, he's been ont he hot seat forever and he never seems to get canned despite disappointing season after disappointing season. Hiring Wade Phillips could help, but his defense struggled mightily in Dallas this year as well. Next season could be another long season for the Texans.
Jacksonville is taking its fans on a roller-coaster ride. I was dumbfounded when I saw Indianapolis losing tot he Titans and the Jaguars blowing that opportunity by trailing to the Texans. You would think that with the season on the line the Jaguars would play like there's no tomorrow, but they lost to the Texans of all teams. Indianapolis came a field goal away from gifting them a chance to the post-season, and it wouldn't have mattered because they blew it. I'm thinking that Del Rio should be gone after this season. Like Kubiak, he's had one chance too many and come up short too many times. Unlike most other coaches I've mentioned, the Jaguars have a 4-3 personnel and there are plenty of 4-3 coaches out there. I don't know that someone like Tom Cable or John Fox wouldn't be a better fit in Jacksonville.
Indianapolis Colts def. Tennessee Titans
Well, the Titans finally found their passing game, a bit too late if you ask me. I still think they need either a running quarterback or some new offensive weapons combined with some new offensive ideas to be dangerous again. If it's a choice between Young and Fisher, though, Fisher is the right choice hands-down.
The Colts won, but that's not exactly how I'd like to enter the postseason. We've got a rematch from last year coming up, and the Colts' problems could all come to a head. Still, they've improved in recent weeks and the bears gave them the blueprints to beating the Jets with a 4-3, it should be a great game.
Dallas Cowboys def. Philadelphia Eagles
Philly could be in trouble going forward, although I think they had great success against he Packers when Vick went in during the second half of their game earlier in the season and they have a decent chance at getting revenge. It really has been a great season for the team and for Vick especially, and things are looking up for them.
Dallas was always better than their record indicated, it seemed like Phillips just lost control of the team. Jason Garrett has done a great job with them, and I expect them to be a dangerous team again next year.
San Francisco 49ers def. Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco continues to confound me, as do the Cardinals. I guess Alex Smith has finally found his form, during the last few weeks of the season. I think what they need more than anything is a great coach, and they should try to land one of the big names out there right now. Jim Harbaugh would be an excellent fit.
The Cardinals, simply, need a quarterback. Their defense is underrated, Ken Whisenhunt has kept them competitive despite what the record would say. Their defense relied solely on Kurt Warner, though, and they need someone who can claim to be a legitimate starting quarterback to have a chance. Fortunately, there should be some options available this offseason. They'd also do well to solidify their line and get their running game back on track.
New York Giants def. Washington Redskins
The Redskins are on the cusp. I know a lot of people don't give them any respect, but they are so close they can feel it. Injuries really hurt this team, but their primary concern has to be getting better players on offense. Ryan Torrain was a great find and he and Portis should compliment each other nicely. However, they need better receivers and linemen and they need them fast. Grossman could run this team successfully, but he needs protection. McNabb would probably be a better option, but they seem to be at an impasse with him and he needs better weapons at receiver. Their defense looks old, but they kept them in contention in most games. Seven of their wins were by six points or less, and their offense struggled consistently. If they can just jump that last hurdle on offense then their defense should be good enough for them to win.
The Giants are a disappointment, though injuries definitely played a part in that. Talk of firing Tom Coughlin is ridiculous, he's done a great job with this team.
Seattle Seahawks def. St. Louis Rams
What I believe even less than the fact that a 7-9 team will host a playoff game is that the Rams lost to the Seahawks with the season on the line. This season will be a success for Pete Carroll, but I would not be satisfied with it if I were him. He still has some large holes at key positions, and he needs to approach the offseason as a chance to get a lot better no matter how well he does in the playoffs.
The Rams still have problems, that much is obvious. Sam Bradford had a tremendous rookie year, though, probably the best for a quarterback in recent memory. Their defense also impressed statistically, if not in certain key situations. Spagnuolo bought himself some time and proved he can coach a team, but he has to deliver next year. He's on the hot seat, and the expectation is probably 9-7 or better. They can probably do it, though, as they have a lot of good parts in place and only need to supplement them in the offseason.
Saturday, January 1, 2011
NFL Week Seventeen Predictions
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
If any other team were in Atlanta's position then I'd say this game would be ripe for an upset, but the Falcons are probably going to play with purpose despite having nothing to really play for.
Prediction: Falcons
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
I just don't see the Bengals being able to do much against that defense.
Prediction: Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
Browns might have a slight chance if Hillis plays, but that Steelers' defense is solid.
Prediction: Steelers
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
Detroit is just starting to get hot. I know this is a game the Vikings are going to fight tooth and nail to win, but I expect Detroit to mimic the gameplan Chicago used to beat them: lots of pressure on the quarterback and an aerial attack.
Prediction: Lions
Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland's looking pretty banged up, and their rush defense isn't keeping up with their pass defense.
Prediction: Chiefs
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots
New England isn't going to roll over for this game, they should win at home.
Prediction: Patriots
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints
The Bucs are toe to toe with the Saints on both sides of the pass, but they have struggled against the run, and Chris Ivory and company should put the hurt on them.
Prediction: Saints
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
The Jets will make a statement heading into the playoffs.
Prediction: Jets
San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos
Denver hasn't convinced me that they can beat anyone, much less the Chargers
Prediction: Chargers
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
The Bears finally had a statement game over the Jets, but I still feel like people underestimate them. The perfect way to counter that would be to potentially knock Green Bay out of the playoff chase, and I think that motivation will get the Bears back into the habit of winning at Lambeau that they had the first few years under Lovie Smith. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Bears
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans
The Jaguars haven't looked like a team that wants to win lately, but the Texans are just abysmal. They have a penchant for winning games at the end of the season after they've lost all playoff hope, but I can't see them pulling this one out.
Prediction: Jaguars
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Unfortunately for Jaguars fans I can't see Indy letting a playoff opportunity slip through their hands the way Jacksonville did. The Titans have problems, and I see no way that they'll be able to stop Peyton Manning.
Prediction: Colts
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
I truly hate the questionable status, it seems like every time it's put on someone the day before they end up playing. If Kitna plays, this could be a trap game. If not, I doubt they can put together an attack that will beat the Eagles. I have no other viable upsets, though, so I'm taking the Cowboys. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers
The Cardinals have looked pretty awful at times this season, but they've pulled their act together recently a slight bit. The Niners just had their head coach fired with one game to go and I doubt they'll have a cohesive gameplan going in, so I'm taking the Cards to finish the season strong. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Cardinals
New York Giants @ Washington Redskins
The Giants are struggling, but they couldn't possibly lose to Washington, could they?
Prediction: Giants
St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Hard to believe this is for a playoff spot, you'd never have guessed the Seahawks would still be in it. Still, I don't see them containing the Rams' offense
Prediction: Rams
If any other team were in Atlanta's position then I'd say this game would be ripe for an upset, but the Falcons are probably going to play with purpose despite having nothing to really play for.
Prediction: Falcons
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
I just don't see the Bengals being able to do much against that defense.
Prediction: Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
Browns might have a slight chance if Hillis plays, but that Steelers' defense is solid.
Prediction: Steelers
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
Detroit is just starting to get hot. I know this is a game the Vikings are going to fight tooth and nail to win, but I expect Detroit to mimic the gameplan Chicago used to beat them: lots of pressure on the quarterback and an aerial attack.
Prediction: Lions
Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland's looking pretty banged up, and their rush defense isn't keeping up with their pass defense.
Prediction: Chiefs
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots
New England isn't going to roll over for this game, they should win at home.
Prediction: Patriots
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints
The Bucs are toe to toe with the Saints on both sides of the pass, but they have struggled against the run, and Chris Ivory and company should put the hurt on them.
Prediction: Saints
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
The Jets will make a statement heading into the playoffs.
Prediction: Jets
San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos
Denver hasn't convinced me that they can beat anyone, much less the Chargers
Prediction: Chargers
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
The Bears finally had a statement game over the Jets, but I still feel like people underestimate them. The perfect way to counter that would be to potentially knock Green Bay out of the playoff chase, and I think that motivation will get the Bears back into the habit of winning at Lambeau that they had the first few years under Lovie Smith. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Bears
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans
The Jaguars haven't looked like a team that wants to win lately, but the Texans are just abysmal. They have a penchant for winning games at the end of the season after they've lost all playoff hope, but I can't see them pulling this one out.
Prediction: Jaguars
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Unfortunately for Jaguars fans I can't see Indy letting a playoff opportunity slip through their hands the way Jacksonville did. The Titans have problems, and I see no way that they'll be able to stop Peyton Manning.
Prediction: Colts
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
I truly hate the questionable status, it seems like every time it's put on someone the day before they end up playing. If Kitna plays, this could be a trap game. If not, I doubt they can put together an attack that will beat the Eagles. I have no other viable upsets, though, so I'm taking the Cowboys. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers
The Cardinals have looked pretty awful at times this season, but they've pulled their act together recently a slight bit. The Niners just had their head coach fired with one game to go and I doubt they'll have a cohesive gameplan going in, so I'm taking the Cards to finish the season strong. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Cardinals
New York Giants @ Washington Redskins
The Giants are struggling, but they couldn't possibly lose to Washington, could they?
Prediction: Giants
St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Hard to believe this is for a playoff spot, you'd never have guessed the Seahawks would still be in it. Still, I don't see them containing the Rams' offense
Prediction: Rams
Wednesday, December 29, 2010
NFL Week Sixteen Thoughts
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Carolina Panthers
Heh, Carolina sucks.
Arizona Cardinals def. Dallas Cowboys
What? Are you kidding me Dallas? David Buehler's days as an NFL kicker may be numbered. I'm sure they still like him as a plus fifty yard kicker and on kickoffs, but if he can't make medium distance field goals and isn't reliable on extra points then he's not really worth it. They might do what they had done previously and keep two kickers on the team, but I get the feeling they didn't really like that approach.
New England Patriots def. Buffalo Bills
Who was I kidding, the Patriots always play like they have something to play for.
Chicago Bears def. New York Jets
Wow, did the Bears surprise me in this one. I'm not even so surprised that the Jets were able to exploit the holes in our defense, I am surprised in how effective we still were with basically no pass rush. I'm also surprised at how well we ran, fitting that the only player to rush for 100 yards in over a year on Buddy Ryan's son was a Bear. We're looking damn good right now, and even if it took sixteen weeks the sports media is finally starting to give us our due.
Baltimore Ravens def. Cleveland Browns
The Ravens weren't going to drop a game with so much riding on it.
Washington Redskins def. Jacksonville Jaguars
And this is why Jack del Rio's job is on the line, he can't pull his team through when they need it most. Two weeks removed from controlling their own destiny they now need Indy help to get into the playoffs, and I have a feeling they're not going to get it.
Kansas City Chiefs def. Tennessee Titans
The Chiefs are rolling right now, and I wouldn't want to be facing them early in the playoffs.
Detroit Lions def. Miami Dolphins
This played out exactly like I predicted. Miami had control of the game for a good while, I had even given up on Detroit winning, but they cannot win at home for some screwy reason.
St. Louis Rams def. San Francisco 49ers
Pulling down your pants in front of your team isn't the most auspicious way to start a coaching stint. One has to wonder where the Niners team of last year went, why they couldn't turn almost from last year into success this year and instead went the other way. In the end, it's on Mike's head. Still, the Rams and Sam Bradford weren't going to let this one slip away with the playoffs potentially on the line.
Cincinnati Bengals def. San Diego Chargers
I knew that San Diego wasn't going to be the late season juggernaut they usually are, but they are losing with a pretty easy schedule which is surprising.
Denver Broncos def. Houston Texans
What a mess of a game. Kubiak better get the boot, no way one injury should send your defense from one of the best to one of the worst in the league.
Indianapolis Colts def. Oakland Raiders
Peyton Manning looks unstoppable at the end of the season, I guess the Colts know when to turn up the pressure, and take advantage of some good fortune coming out of Jacksonville.
Green Bay Packers def. New York Giants
Oh Giants, where have you gone wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers def. Seattle Seahawks
Like I said, Seattle got torched.
Minnesota Vikings def. Philadelphia Eagles
I don't mind being wrong here, as it gives my Bears a first round bye. I do find it very surprising that the Philly defense allowed so many points to a weak looking offense.
New Orleans Saints def. Atlanta Falcons
The Saints know when to turn it up, and made an impressive statement beating Atlanta at home.
Heh, Carolina sucks.
Arizona Cardinals def. Dallas Cowboys
What? Are you kidding me Dallas? David Buehler's days as an NFL kicker may be numbered. I'm sure they still like him as a plus fifty yard kicker and on kickoffs, but if he can't make medium distance field goals and isn't reliable on extra points then he's not really worth it. They might do what they had done previously and keep two kickers on the team, but I get the feeling they didn't really like that approach.
New England Patriots def. Buffalo Bills
Who was I kidding, the Patriots always play like they have something to play for.
Chicago Bears def. New York Jets
Wow, did the Bears surprise me in this one. I'm not even so surprised that the Jets were able to exploit the holes in our defense, I am surprised in how effective we still were with basically no pass rush. I'm also surprised at how well we ran, fitting that the only player to rush for 100 yards in over a year on Buddy Ryan's son was a Bear. We're looking damn good right now, and even if it took sixteen weeks the sports media is finally starting to give us our due.
Baltimore Ravens def. Cleveland Browns
The Ravens weren't going to drop a game with so much riding on it.
Washington Redskins def. Jacksonville Jaguars
And this is why Jack del Rio's job is on the line, he can't pull his team through when they need it most. Two weeks removed from controlling their own destiny they now need Indy help to get into the playoffs, and I have a feeling they're not going to get it.
Kansas City Chiefs def. Tennessee Titans
The Chiefs are rolling right now, and I wouldn't want to be facing them early in the playoffs.
Detroit Lions def. Miami Dolphins
This played out exactly like I predicted. Miami had control of the game for a good while, I had even given up on Detroit winning, but they cannot win at home for some screwy reason.
St. Louis Rams def. San Francisco 49ers
Pulling down your pants in front of your team isn't the most auspicious way to start a coaching stint. One has to wonder where the Niners team of last year went, why they couldn't turn almost from last year into success this year and instead went the other way. In the end, it's on Mike's head. Still, the Rams and Sam Bradford weren't going to let this one slip away with the playoffs potentially on the line.
Cincinnati Bengals def. San Diego Chargers
I knew that San Diego wasn't going to be the late season juggernaut they usually are, but they are losing with a pretty easy schedule which is surprising.
Denver Broncos def. Houston Texans
What a mess of a game. Kubiak better get the boot, no way one injury should send your defense from one of the best to one of the worst in the league.
Indianapolis Colts def. Oakland Raiders
Peyton Manning looks unstoppable at the end of the season, I guess the Colts know when to turn up the pressure, and take advantage of some good fortune coming out of Jacksonville.
Green Bay Packers def. New York Giants
Oh Giants, where have you gone wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers def. Seattle Seahawks
Like I said, Seattle got torched.
Minnesota Vikings def. Philadelphia Eagles
I don't mind being wrong here, as it gives my Bears a first round bye. I do find it very surprising that the Philly defense allowed so many points to a weak looking offense.
New Orleans Saints def. Atlanta Falcons
The Saints know when to turn it up, and made an impressive statement beating Atlanta at home.
Thursday, December 23, 2010
NFL Week Sixteen Predictions
Carolina Panthers @ Pittsburgh Steelers
I considered Carolina in this game with Polamalu out and the team finally finding some consistency, but in the end I don't think their defense can stop Mendenhall.
Prediction: Steelers
Dallas Cowboys @ Arizona Cardinals
The Cards are looking as bad now as Dallas looked earlier in the season, or even worse.
Prediction: Cowboys
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
With nothing to really play for the Bills could pull off an upset, but we're talking Belichick's Pats here and not the Colts.
Prediction: Patriots
New York Jets @ Chicago Bears
I do think the Bears can beat the Jets, and even are in a good position to do so. However, the Jets finally got back on track and are fighting for their playoff lives. The biggest factors in this game, however, are going to be Revis and the line. I don't believe Cutler is going to be able to pass against the Jets, especially because I don't think our run game is going anywhere against them, and I don't think we're going to be able to pressure Sanchez, which is why I have to go with the Jets.
Prediction: Jets
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns
I can't pick against Baltimore here when they're still playing for a playoff berth.
Prediction: Ravens
Washington Redskins @ Jacksonville Jaguars
See above.
Prediction: Jaguars
Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs
CJ2K isn't going to be able to win this one on his own.
Prediction: Chiefs
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
I don't really like Detroit here, but I have sworn off picking Miami at home. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Lions
San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams
I can't believe that the Rams are going to get beat by these Niners again, much less at home. Troy Smith has played in a few more games, there's more film on him now, and the Rams know his tendencies now, so I have to go with the better QB in Sam Bradford.
Prediction: Rams
San Diego Chargers @ Cincinnati Bengals
I'm having a hard time believing the Bengals can produce against this San Diego defense, or that they can stop Phillip Rivers
Prediction: Chargers
Houston Texans @ Denver Broncos
Oh my god, this has to go down as the absolute worst matchup of the year. Denver is bad, bad, bad, and I don't know that they can stop Arian Foster. That Houston defense is just as bad though, and this could the point where the Denver offense finally picks up the win. I'd rather just bury my head in the sand and pretend this matchup won't ever take place, but since I have to pick a winner, Houston.
Prediction: Texans
Indianapolis Colts @ Oakland Raiders
Another receiver goes on IR, Dwight Freeney isn't participating in practice, and the Colts go up against a scary Raiders' passing offense. If you would have said at the beginning of the season that the Raiders are going to end the Colts' playoff hopes I'd have laughed you out of the country, but I say that's exactly what's going to happen. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Raiders
New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers
Passing defense, I do not think the Packers are going to fare well against New York's. The Giants are generating a ton of pressure, which has been a sore sport for the Pack, and the Giants' offense is firing on all cylinders. The big question will be if they'll have another breakdown, but I doubt we'll see a repeat of last week.
Prediction: Giants
Seattle Seahawks @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs are still fighting for playoff life (barely), and should torch a weak Seattle secondary.
Prediction: Buccaneers
Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles
All Minnesota is doing now is looking ahead to next year, the Eagles are in contention for a number two seed.
Prediction: Eagles
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
This is turning into a hot matchup. The Saints came within a field goal of beating the Falcons at the Superdome, and they are in a better position to win now. Their defense seems to be in a better position than Atlanta's, and their running game and offense are firing on all cylinders. The Birds don't lose at home, though. It's so hard to pick Atlanta to lose at home, but I have to go with the Saints here. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Saints
I considered Carolina in this game with Polamalu out and the team finally finding some consistency, but in the end I don't think their defense can stop Mendenhall.
Prediction: Steelers
Dallas Cowboys @ Arizona Cardinals
The Cards are looking as bad now as Dallas looked earlier in the season, or even worse.
Prediction: Cowboys
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
With nothing to really play for the Bills could pull off an upset, but we're talking Belichick's Pats here and not the Colts.
Prediction: Patriots
New York Jets @ Chicago Bears
I do think the Bears can beat the Jets, and even are in a good position to do so. However, the Jets finally got back on track and are fighting for their playoff lives. The biggest factors in this game, however, are going to be Revis and the line. I don't believe Cutler is going to be able to pass against the Jets, especially because I don't think our run game is going anywhere against them, and I don't think we're going to be able to pressure Sanchez, which is why I have to go with the Jets.
Prediction: Jets
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns
I can't pick against Baltimore here when they're still playing for a playoff berth.
Prediction: Ravens
Washington Redskins @ Jacksonville Jaguars
See above.
Prediction: Jaguars
Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs
CJ2K isn't going to be able to win this one on his own.
Prediction: Chiefs
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
I don't really like Detroit here, but I have sworn off picking Miami at home. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Lions
San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams
I can't believe that the Rams are going to get beat by these Niners again, much less at home. Troy Smith has played in a few more games, there's more film on him now, and the Rams know his tendencies now, so I have to go with the better QB in Sam Bradford.
Prediction: Rams
San Diego Chargers @ Cincinnati Bengals
I'm having a hard time believing the Bengals can produce against this San Diego defense, or that they can stop Phillip Rivers
Prediction: Chargers
Houston Texans @ Denver Broncos
Oh my god, this has to go down as the absolute worst matchup of the year. Denver is bad, bad, bad, and I don't know that they can stop Arian Foster. That Houston defense is just as bad though, and this could the point where the Denver offense finally picks up the win. I'd rather just bury my head in the sand and pretend this matchup won't ever take place, but since I have to pick a winner, Houston.
Prediction: Texans
Indianapolis Colts @ Oakland Raiders
Another receiver goes on IR, Dwight Freeney isn't participating in practice, and the Colts go up against a scary Raiders' passing offense. If you would have said at the beginning of the season that the Raiders are going to end the Colts' playoff hopes I'd have laughed you out of the country, but I say that's exactly what's going to happen. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Raiders
New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers
Passing defense, I do not think the Packers are going to fare well against New York's. The Giants are generating a ton of pressure, which has been a sore sport for the Pack, and the Giants' offense is firing on all cylinders. The big question will be if they'll have another breakdown, but I doubt we'll see a repeat of last week.
Prediction: Giants
Seattle Seahawks @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs are still fighting for playoff life (barely), and should torch a weak Seattle secondary.
Prediction: Buccaneers
Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles
All Minnesota is doing now is looking ahead to next year, the Eagles are in contention for a number two seed.
Prediction: Eagles
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
This is turning into a hot matchup. The Saints came within a field goal of beating the Falcons at the Superdome, and they are in a better position to win now. Their defense seems to be in a better position than Atlanta's, and their running game and offense are firing on all cylinders. The Birds don't lose at home, though. It's so hard to pick Atlanta to lose at home, but I have to go with the Saints here. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Saints
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
NFL Week Fifteen Thoughts
This is the week the Bears won the NFC North, it is a good week indeed!
San Diego Chargers def. San Francisco 49ers
I think it's going to be bye-bye Singletary after this season, though they could still make the playoffs (yikes!)
Baltimore Ravens def. New Orleans Saints
There's nothing I hate more than not knowing whether or not the good team or bad team is going to show up on Sunday, Ravens have that dynamic.
Carolina Panthers def. Arizona Cardinals
Arizona should be mightily embarrassed.
Cincinnati Bengals def. Cleveland Browns
The Bengals are coming on at the end of the season. I haven't been very high on Mangini as a head coach since he was in New York, I think the Browns would be better off with Mike Holmgren running the show.
Dallas Cowboys def. Washington Redskins
Rex Grossman didn't look half bad, perhaps he's finally landed in a system he fits in. That Dallas defense is looking impressive late in the year, they could be due for a resurgence next year.
Indianaplois Colts def. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars missed some key opportunities here, but the Colts finally came out and proved they could get past their team troubles and finish a game. They look like they could be contenders if they make it in to the postseason, but I'm not so sure they can win out.
Buffalo Bills def. Miami Dolphins
Oh Miami, how did you let this one slip away? I'm starting to think they don't even want to win at home.
Philadelphia Eagles def. New York Giants
Jacksonville last week, Philly this week, seems I can't help but get burned by big punt returns at least once a week. That fourth quarter breakdown does not look good for the Giants heading into the playoffs, though they have gone from disappointing at the end of the season to playoff monsters in the past.
Kansas City Chiefs def. St. Louis Rams
This Chiefs team is looking pretty impressive, if they can have a good offseason we could be looking at new long-term favorites in the division.
Detroit Lions def. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I got this one right, but it played out just the opposite of what I thought it would. Detroit's run defense got torched (LeGarrette Blount is a beast), and Drew Stanton lit up the field. That Tampa defense is very young, too young for this team to be a legitimate contender, but a good draft and they could be back in contention. You know how it goes in the NFC South, every year they have a new division champion.
Tennessee Titans def. Houston Texans
I made the cardinal mistake of evaluating the Texans this year, never underestimate how atrocious their defense is.
Atlanta Falcons def. Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta is a hot team, the Seahawks are slumping.
Oakland Raiders def. Denver Broncos
Those Broncos are in dire straights, whoever they bring in as coach and/or to run personnel had better have their act together.
New York Jet def. Pittsburgh Steelers
Polamalu didn't play, but I am a little surprised at how easily Sanchez was able to handle their D. I think the Steelers got robbed by a no-call late in the fourth, but they still didn't get it done on subsequent plays.
New England Patriots def. Green Bay Packers
I'm a bit surprised at how well Matt Flynn did, although this Pats' defense can have sort of a Jekyll and Hyde dynamic to it.
Chicago Bears def. Minnesota Vikings
Okay, I know Webb was in there for a full half, but we played them damn well the whole game. No matter who was in the pocket we took them to the ground, we generated five turnovers, Hester set a new NFL record for return touchdowns (congrats!), and this offense took advantage where they could. Jay Cutler looked especially impressive, and I think things are looking up for this team. No matter what happens in the postseason, this season has been a success. With that being said, we're division champs and on the way to the playoffs, go Bears!
San Diego Chargers def. San Francisco 49ers
I think it's going to be bye-bye Singletary after this season, though they could still make the playoffs (yikes!)
Baltimore Ravens def. New Orleans Saints
There's nothing I hate more than not knowing whether or not the good team or bad team is going to show up on Sunday, Ravens have that dynamic.
Carolina Panthers def. Arizona Cardinals
Arizona should be mightily embarrassed.
Cincinnati Bengals def. Cleveland Browns
The Bengals are coming on at the end of the season. I haven't been very high on Mangini as a head coach since he was in New York, I think the Browns would be better off with Mike Holmgren running the show.
Dallas Cowboys def. Washington Redskins
Rex Grossman didn't look half bad, perhaps he's finally landed in a system he fits in. That Dallas defense is looking impressive late in the year, they could be due for a resurgence next year.
Indianaplois Colts def. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars missed some key opportunities here, but the Colts finally came out and proved they could get past their team troubles and finish a game. They look like they could be contenders if they make it in to the postseason, but I'm not so sure they can win out.
Buffalo Bills def. Miami Dolphins
Oh Miami, how did you let this one slip away? I'm starting to think they don't even want to win at home.
Philadelphia Eagles def. New York Giants
Jacksonville last week, Philly this week, seems I can't help but get burned by big punt returns at least once a week. That fourth quarter breakdown does not look good for the Giants heading into the playoffs, though they have gone from disappointing at the end of the season to playoff monsters in the past.
Kansas City Chiefs def. St. Louis Rams
This Chiefs team is looking pretty impressive, if they can have a good offseason we could be looking at new long-term favorites in the division.
Detroit Lions def. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I got this one right, but it played out just the opposite of what I thought it would. Detroit's run defense got torched (LeGarrette Blount is a beast), and Drew Stanton lit up the field. That Tampa defense is very young, too young for this team to be a legitimate contender, but a good draft and they could be back in contention. You know how it goes in the NFC South, every year they have a new division champion.
Tennessee Titans def. Houston Texans
I made the cardinal mistake of evaluating the Texans this year, never underestimate how atrocious their defense is.
Atlanta Falcons def. Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta is a hot team, the Seahawks are slumping.
Oakland Raiders def. Denver Broncos
Those Broncos are in dire straights, whoever they bring in as coach and/or to run personnel had better have their act together.
New York Jet def. Pittsburgh Steelers
Polamalu didn't play, but I am a little surprised at how easily Sanchez was able to handle their D. I think the Steelers got robbed by a no-call late in the fourth, but they still didn't get it done on subsequent plays.
New England Patriots def. Green Bay Packers
I'm a bit surprised at how well Matt Flynn did, although this Pats' defense can have sort of a Jekyll and Hyde dynamic to it.
Chicago Bears def. Minnesota Vikings
Okay, I know Webb was in there for a full half, but we played them damn well the whole game. No matter who was in the pocket we took them to the ground, we generated five turnovers, Hester set a new NFL record for return touchdowns (congrats!), and this offense took advantage where they could. Jay Cutler looked especially impressive, and I think things are looking up for this team. No matter what happens in the postseason, this season has been a success. With that being said, we're division champs and on the way to the playoffs, go Bears!
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
What Grinds my Gears-Gridiron Edition
It's been a while since I've written anything that wasn't about picks, so at the end of the season I'm finally getting around to writing something substantial. There have been a lot of things that have been getting on my nerves this season, so I figure it's time I let loose.
I am now wholly convinced that the Bears are one of the most hated teams in the NFL, and the Packers one of the most loved. Why this is I do not know, though I have some theories. The first one is that the Packers have a playstyle that many fans like: high octane passing game, blitz-heavy defense. They can put up big stats on both sides of the ball, which is something I will get into in more detail later, but they can also be burned by opportunistic teams and injuries. They have Aaron Rodgers, they have Clay Matthews, that's enough to give most fantasy players a woody.
Speaking of which, this is the other reason I think the Packers are loved, the love affair that announcers seem to have with Favre. Green Bay is still benefiting from that, especially with another good, young QB having replaced Favre. Everyone is aware of the obsession John Madden had with Favre, if it wasn't readily apparent from watching a broadcast then Frank Caliendo has preserved his obsession for the ages with his impressions. Years after Madden's retirement, though, broadcasters are still gushing over Brett Favre. Listening to John Gruden during the Bears game last night was enough to give me diabetes. We get it, everyone loves Favre. The best thing about Favre's probable retirement after this season is going to be not having to listen to announcers gush over him, though I'm sure the borderline erotic praise will be lauded on him for a short while after his retirement at least.
Speaking of Minnesota, they are not so great outside of the Metrodome, which is heresy for a Midwest team. The Minnesota players were whining and complaining all week before the game that they actually had to play *gasp* outdoors. Perhaps the numerous injuries they sustained, including one to Old Man Favre on a sack by rookie Corey Wooten, should be a confirmation of their worries, but the Bears didn't seem to suffer any ill effects from the weather or the field. Now Vikings owner Zigy Wilf is lobbying for an outdoor stadium, the first decent thing he's done since taking over. Look out babies, you might finally have to survive outside of your crib.
This is something that is driving me absolutely insane, stadium deals with the cities. I don't know exactly when this tradition started, but it is the most insane idea to me that these teams that are making millions upon millions of dollars each year are actually going to cities and demanding money to build stadiums. The Cubs threatened to pull out of Arizona if they didn't get a new multi-million dollar stadium built for them despite the entire state being in dire straights, Minnesota isn't much better and the Vikings are asking for money for a new field, the Cubs are asking the city of Chicago, which is knee deep in red ink, for money for stadium renovations, am I going insane here? Go to the Chicago Tribune online and read any article about preserving programs that help people in need, preserving education funding, preserving union jobs, and you get some ideological argument riddled with accusations of leeching and excessive use of the term "entitlement." Read an article about the Cubs wanting a new stadium and everyone talks about how it's common practice, about how we don't want them to leave (apparently), about how the Bears got money to renovate Soldier Field. I don't care if it HAS been done, it shouldn't be done. There are people in need, and they should take priority in receiving government funds over pro sports franchises that are extremely well off to being with. On top of all of this, ticket prices are enormously high. You would think the least these owners could do for people who build them stadiums is keep prices low, but fans get gouged from the parking lot to the ticket window to the concession stand. It's fucking bullshit, if people want to make a huge deal about government overspending and free market principles then they should start by demanding that pro sports franchises build their own goddamned stadiums.
We're getting to progressively hotter topics for me, and this one is really been getting to me lately. Fantasy football is ruining fans' brains. Fans today are so concerned about stats, they are so concerned about people making huge plays, that they forget that this game is more than stats. Everywhere I go I see fans making predictions based on win/loss records, talking teams down because they don't have a QB with MVP numbers or talking teams up simply because they have a productive fantasy player. The really strange thing is you would think they could look at the top fantasy players each year and realize that many times they don't play on winning teams. You would also think that they would be more easily able to look at a team like Detroit and realize that players that might put up big fantasy numbers but were injured could be affecting that record. That's one thing these fans aren't able to see, is the quality of play. For teams like Detroit and Buffalo quality play hasn't exactly translated into victories, but that doesn't mean they aren't a decent teams with a lot of potential. Anyone can watch the way those two teams, or other maligned teams such as Washington, have played this season and know they are on the cusp, but the fantasy-minded see only numbers.
Then you get to this new trend of fantasy analysts some networks are hiring, and they are by far the douchiest, know-nothingest bunch of obnoxious charlatans on TV this side of Fux News. They have absolutely no concept of breaking down a team, of looking at different stats, of evaluating how certain teams and players respond in certain conditions. They look at numbers, numbers, numbers and then go out in front of a camera and do their tired sports nerd machismo bit, playing up the teams and players with flashy numbers and attempting to emasculate those without. As if sports fans need any more machismo. Look, this is a team game, it takes 53 players to get to the playoffs and beyond. Obviously not every team has 53 all-pros, and not every team can be full to the teeth of fantasy standouts. This is what the fantasy generation cannot comprehend, is that teams with mediocre stats, or that excel in certain areas but not others, can remain competitive. I said it before the season started, this is a league of parity. You can look at teams like the Browns beating teams like the Patriots, at the Colts falling off after just one season,at the Bengals sweeping their division last season and going back to the bottom this season. Look at the way the Chiefs and Rams have turned things around, how the Raiders and Jaguars are hanging in there after seasons of fizzling out. Hell, forget the records and look at the way teams like the Lions, Bills, and Redskins are playing, look at the margin of victory, look at some of the good teams they've beaten or come close to beating. This is a league of parity, any team can win on any given Sunday, and that makes this league great. I don't really care if fantasy brains (and I use that word loosely) can't understand that, they just need to stop acting like they're experts when they can't get their heads around the core concepts of this league. If stats were all that mattered then why even play 16 games, why not play four or five and let statistical simulations dot he rest? At this time of year with the playoffs approaching, the fantasy brains are already anointing winners and losers based on stats and playmakers, but what they forget is that you haven't won squat until you actually go out there and win it. At this point in the year, regardless of strength of schedule or any other meaningless excuse used to disparage certain teams, every single team that is still alive has the chance and the ability to win the big one, and any real football fan wouldn't have it any other way.
I am now wholly convinced that the Bears are one of the most hated teams in the NFL, and the Packers one of the most loved. Why this is I do not know, though I have some theories. The first one is that the Packers have a playstyle that many fans like: high octane passing game, blitz-heavy defense. They can put up big stats on both sides of the ball, which is something I will get into in more detail later, but they can also be burned by opportunistic teams and injuries. They have Aaron Rodgers, they have Clay Matthews, that's enough to give most fantasy players a woody.
Speaking of which, this is the other reason I think the Packers are loved, the love affair that announcers seem to have with Favre. Green Bay is still benefiting from that, especially with another good, young QB having replaced Favre. Everyone is aware of the obsession John Madden had with Favre, if it wasn't readily apparent from watching a broadcast then Frank Caliendo has preserved his obsession for the ages with his impressions. Years after Madden's retirement, though, broadcasters are still gushing over Brett Favre. Listening to John Gruden during the Bears game last night was enough to give me diabetes. We get it, everyone loves Favre. The best thing about Favre's probable retirement after this season is going to be not having to listen to announcers gush over him, though I'm sure the borderline erotic praise will be lauded on him for a short while after his retirement at least.
Speaking of Minnesota, they are not so great outside of the Metrodome, which is heresy for a Midwest team. The Minnesota players were whining and complaining all week before the game that they actually had to play *gasp* outdoors. Perhaps the numerous injuries they sustained, including one to Old Man Favre on a sack by rookie Corey Wooten, should be a confirmation of their worries, but the Bears didn't seem to suffer any ill effects from the weather or the field. Now Vikings owner Zigy Wilf is lobbying for an outdoor stadium, the first decent thing he's done since taking over. Look out babies, you might finally have to survive outside of your crib.
This is something that is driving me absolutely insane, stadium deals with the cities. I don't know exactly when this tradition started, but it is the most insane idea to me that these teams that are making millions upon millions of dollars each year are actually going to cities and demanding money to build stadiums. The Cubs threatened to pull out of Arizona if they didn't get a new multi-million dollar stadium built for them despite the entire state being in dire straights, Minnesota isn't much better and the Vikings are asking for money for a new field, the Cubs are asking the city of Chicago, which is knee deep in red ink, for money for stadium renovations, am I going insane here? Go to the Chicago Tribune online and read any article about preserving programs that help people in need, preserving education funding, preserving union jobs, and you get some ideological argument riddled with accusations of leeching and excessive use of the term "entitlement." Read an article about the Cubs wanting a new stadium and everyone talks about how it's common practice, about how we don't want them to leave (apparently), about how the Bears got money to renovate Soldier Field. I don't care if it HAS been done, it shouldn't be done. There are people in need, and they should take priority in receiving government funds over pro sports franchises that are extremely well off to being with. On top of all of this, ticket prices are enormously high. You would think the least these owners could do for people who build them stadiums is keep prices low, but fans get gouged from the parking lot to the ticket window to the concession stand. It's fucking bullshit, if people want to make a huge deal about government overspending and free market principles then they should start by demanding that pro sports franchises build their own goddamned stadiums.
We're getting to progressively hotter topics for me, and this one is really been getting to me lately. Fantasy football is ruining fans' brains. Fans today are so concerned about stats, they are so concerned about people making huge plays, that they forget that this game is more than stats. Everywhere I go I see fans making predictions based on win/loss records, talking teams down because they don't have a QB with MVP numbers or talking teams up simply because they have a productive fantasy player. The really strange thing is you would think they could look at the top fantasy players each year and realize that many times they don't play on winning teams. You would also think that they would be more easily able to look at a team like Detroit and realize that players that might put up big fantasy numbers but were injured could be affecting that record. That's one thing these fans aren't able to see, is the quality of play. For teams like Detroit and Buffalo quality play hasn't exactly translated into victories, but that doesn't mean they aren't a decent teams with a lot of potential. Anyone can watch the way those two teams, or other maligned teams such as Washington, have played this season and know they are on the cusp, but the fantasy-minded see only numbers.
Then you get to this new trend of fantasy analysts some networks are hiring, and they are by far the douchiest, know-nothingest bunch of obnoxious charlatans on TV this side of Fux News. They have absolutely no concept of breaking down a team, of looking at different stats, of evaluating how certain teams and players respond in certain conditions. They look at numbers, numbers, numbers and then go out in front of a camera and do their tired sports nerd machismo bit, playing up the teams and players with flashy numbers and attempting to emasculate those without. As if sports fans need any more machismo. Look, this is a team game, it takes 53 players to get to the playoffs and beyond. Obviously not every team has 53 all-pros, and not every team can be full to the teeth of fantasy standouts. This is what the fantasy generation cannot comprehend, is that teams with mediocre stats, or that excel in certain areas but not others, can remain competitive. I said it before the season started, this is a league of parity. You can look at teams like the Browns beating teams like the Patriots, at the Colts falling off after just one season,at the Bengals sweeping their division last season and going back to the bottom this season. Look at the way the Chiefs and Rams have turned things around, how the Raiders and Jaguars are hanging in there after seasons of fizzling out. Hell, forget the records and look at the way teams like the Lions, Bills, and Redskins are playing, look at the margin of victory, look at some of the good teams they've beaten or come close to beating. This is a league of parity, any team can win on any given Sunday, and that makes this league great. I don't really care if fantasy brains (and I use that word loosely) can't understand that, they just need to stop acting like they're experts when they can't get their heads around the core concepts of this league. If stats were all that mattered then why even play 16 games, why not play four or five and let statistical simulations dot he rest? At this time of year with the playoffs approaching, the fantasy brains are already anointing winners and losers based on stats and playmakers, but what they forget is that you haven't won squat until you actually go out there and win it. At this point in the year, regardless of strength of schedule or any other meaningless excuse used to disparage certain teams, every single team that is still alive has the chance and the ability to win the big one, and any real football fan wouldn't have it any other way.
Thursday, December 16, 2010
NFL Week Fifteen Predictions
San Francisco 49ers @ San Diego Chargers
San Fran is going to be making me second guess myself for the rest of the season, but I think the Chargers are good enough to beat them.
Prediction: Chargers
New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens
It's hard to predict which talented team will have the signature breakdown this week. The Ravens are better running the ball, but the Saints are dominant on both sides of the ball passing. Both teams have been prone to letdowns, but the Ravens have struggled since losing to the Steelers and the Saints are making a push.
Prediction: Saints
Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers
The battle of two bad teams. The Cardinals have been improving slithgly in the past few weeks, especially running the ball where Carolina is most vunerable.
Prediction: Cardinals
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland looks a little better in terms of stats. It'll be tough stopping Peyton Hillis, but Cleveland is just as bad as Cincy in rush defense. The Browns have struggled in recent weeks, and the Bengals have played hard against good teams. I like the Bengals to bounce back.
Prediciton: Bengals
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
Wahsington is the team that sent Dallas into its downward spiral at the start of the season, now the boys are out for revenge. The key could be who can run the ball better, and Dallas has the edge defending the run. Ryan Torain is the Skins' ace in the hole, but the Dallas running back by committee and John Kitna make me think they have the edge.
Prediction: Cowboys
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianaplois Colts
Last time these two teams faced off I had the Colts as a lock, and the Jaguars showed up in a huge way. That was before the Colts ran into injuries and other problems, and now the Jaguars look like the superior team. The Colts have a way of winning the games everyone predicts they'll lose, though, so you can't count them out based on intangibles. How about this stat, the Colts are 29th in the league in stopping the run, the Jaguars are second in the league running the ball. I think the Jaguars match up well here.
Prediction: Jaguars
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
A lot of people are picking Buffalo as an upset here, but Miami is playing well again. I know they're horrendous at home, but the Bills are an easy win for any team who can remained focused, like I think Miami will.
Prediction: Dolphins
Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants
What a matchup, both teams are just about dead even rushing the ball. On defense, the Giants have a very slight edge against the run. On the passing side of the ball, the Ealges have an edge on offense and the Giants on defense. The Bears showed a gameplan for how to beat the Eagles with the same base scheme the Giants run, DeSean Jackson and other Eagles receivers are out, and the Giants receivers are getting a bit healthier. I think that equals a bounceback for the Giants. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Giants
Kansas City Chiefs @ St. Louis Rams
The Rams have really dropped off rushing the ball, while the Chiefs have improved in that aspect. While the Chiefs are good defending the run, the Rams are better. The key to this game could be Matt Cassel, but if the Chiefs can control the ball like I think they will they'll win this game. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Chiefs
Detroit Lions @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This could be a surprisingly good game. The Lions were very effective against Aaron Rodgers last week and have been very effective against the run all season, and I think will give a lot of trouble to Josh Freeman. A lot of the Lions' playmakers are back, but the deciding factor could be whether or not Shaun Hill plays. He's listed as questionable, so I think he plays and the Lions beat the Bucs. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Lions
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
The Titans are bad without Vince Young. The Texans should be able to pass all over the Titans.
Prediction: Texans
Atlanta Falcons @ Seattle Seahawks
The Falcons are pushing, the Hawks are struggling, this is a no-brainer.
Prediction: Falcons
Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders
The Broncos are BAD right now, and Tim Tebow starting isn't going to turn them around.
Prediction: Raiders
New York Jet @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Mark Sanchez is struggling and he's going up against Troy Polamalu, Troy wins this battle.
Prediction: Steelers
Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots
The Pats are at home, they are on a roll, they're playing well on both sides of the ball, Green Bay is struggling on both sides, and they're without Aaron Rodgers. No way they win this game.
Prediction: Patriots
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings
Rookie Joe Webb is starting, they're not playing in the dome, and the Bears are this close to winning the division. Bears should take this one.
Prediction: Bears
San Fran is going to be making me second guess myself for the rest of the season, but I think the Chargers are good enough to beat them.
Prediction: Chargers
New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens
It's hard to predict which talented team will have the signature breakdown this week. The Ravens are better running the ball, but the Saints are dominant on both sides of the ball passing. Both teams have been prone to letdowns, but the Ravens have struggled since losing to the Steelers and the Saints are making a push.
Prediction: Saints
Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers
The battle of two bad teams. The Cardinals have been improving slithgly in the past few weeks, especially running the ball where Carolina is most vunerable.
Prediction: Cardinals
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland looks a little better in terms of stats. It'll be tough stopping Peyton Hillis, but Cleveland is just as bad as Cincy in rush defense. The Browns have struggled in recent weeks, and the Bengals have played hard against good teams. I like the Bengals to bounce back.
Prediciton: Bengals
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
Wahsington is the team that sent Dallas into its downward spiral at the start of the season, now the boys are out for revenge. The key could be who can run the ball better, and Dallas has the edge defending the run. Ryan Torain is the Skins' ace in the hole, but the Dallas running back by committee and John Kitna make me think they have the edge.
Prediction: Cowboys
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianaplois Colts
Last time these two teams faced off I had the Colts as a lock, and the Jaguars showed up in a huge way. That was before the Colts ran into injuries and other problems, and now the Jaguars look like the superior team. The Colts have a way of winning the games everyone predicts they'll lose, though, so you can't count them out based on intangibles. How about this stat, the Colts are 29th in the league in stopping the run, the Jaguars are second in the league running the ball. I think the Jaguars match up well here.
Prediction: Jaguars
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
A lot of people are picking Buffalo as an upset here, but Miami is playing well again. I know they're horrendous at home, but the Bills are an easy win for any team who can remained focused, like I think Miami will.
Prediction: Dolphins
Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants
What a matchup, both teams are just about dead even rushing the ball. On defense, the Giants have a very slight edge against the run. On the passing side of the ball, the Ealges have an edge on offense and the Giants on defense. The Bears showed a gameplan for how to beat the Eagles with the same base scheme the Giants run, DeSean Jackson and other Eagles receivers are out, and the Giants receivers are getting a bit healthier. I think that equals a bounceback for the Giants. This is my game of the week.
Prediction: Giants
Kansas City Chiefs @ St. Louis Rams
The Rams have really dropped off rushing the ball, while the Chiefs have improved in that aspect. While the Chiefs are good defending the run, the Rams are better. The key to this game could be Matt Cassel, but if the Chiefs can control the ball like I think they will they'll win this game. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Chiefs
Detroit Lions @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This could be a surprisingly good game. The Lions were very effective against Aaron Rodgers last week and have been very effective against the run all season, and I think will give a lot of trouble to Josh Freeman. A lot of the Lions' playmakers are back, but the deciding factor could be whether or not Shaun Hill plays. He's listed as questionable, so I think he plays and the Lions beat the Bucs. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Lions
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
The Titans are bad without Vince Young. The Texans should be able to pass all over the Titans.
Prediction: Texans
Atlanta Falcons @ Seattle Seahawks
The Falcons are pushing, the Hawks are struggling, this is a no-brainer.
Prediction: Falcons
Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders
The Broncos are BAD right now, and Tim Tebow starting isn't going to turn them around.
Prediction: Raiders
New York Jet @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Mark Sanchez is struggling and he's going up against Troy Polamalu, Troy wins this battle.
Prediction: Steelers
Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots
The Pats are at home, they are on a roll, they're playing well on both sides of the ball, Green Bay is struggling on both sides, and they're without Aaron Rodgers. No way they win this game.
Prediction: Patriots
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings
Rookie Joe Webb is starting, they're not playing in the dome, and the Bears are this close to winning the division. Bears should take this one.
Prediction: Bears
Wednesday, December 15, 2010
NFL Week Fourteen Thoughts
Indianapolis Colts def. Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is bad without Vince Young.
Buffalo Bills def. Cleveland Browns
Fitz ain't great, but he's good enough to be a starter for a 3-10 team.
Atlanta Falcons def. Carolina Panthers
This one was over before it began.
Detroit Lions def. Green Bay Packers
When am I happy to be wrong? When I pick the Packers to win. Make no mistake, Detroit is a good team. I think I said they'd get a division win this year, I might've even said it would come against the Pack. Still, the way the season was playing out I thought that was one pre-season prediction I'd be wrong about. The bigger story, though, is that the Packers have now lost to two opponents that the Bears beat and the Bears themselves. I hope this finally establishes the Bears as the better team this season. Don't blame this one on Rodgers being gone, either, the Lions were pummeling him before he exited the game.
Jacksonville Jaguars def. Oakland Raiders
I do hate being wrong, but I hate it even more when I'm wrong because the team I picked blew a late lead because of bad kick coverage and one huge run. It looked like the Raiders were going to pull this one off, then two plays later they lose. This is why despite looking impressive at times, the Raiders are not a playoff-caliber team.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Cincinnati Bengals
Big Ben may be the quarterback, buck Troy Polamalu is the key to their success.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers def. Washington Redskins
I'm really surprised at the manner in which Tampa won, Washington had this game and gave it away (a high school kicker could've done a better job than Gano). One thing's for sure, though, Ryan Torain is a beast.
New Orleans Saints def. St. Louis Rams
Bradford is good, he outshined Drew Brees in the stat column. New Orleans is the better team, though.
San Francisco 49ers def. Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco is quickly becoming my least favorite team to pick this year, they always end up doing the complete opposite of what I expect. Seattle is almost as bad, so it's no wonder this turned out to be a matchup from hell for me.
Arizona Cardinals def. Denver Broncos
I should've gone with my gut instinct, Denver is bad.
New England Patriots def. Chicago Bears
This loss looked worse than it really was. If not for some offensive turnovers that lead to New England scores and a breakdown on the last play of the half, this game could've at least been a lot closer than it was. It also seemed like our gameplan was off, it looked like the coaches expected New England to keep to the ground and instead Brady came out and lit the place up. Still, New England outplayed us. They're a better team, I'll go so far as to call them he beast in the league right now, and they beat us. I'm not trying to make excuses, I'm just saying that people despairing about our playoff chances should find some hope despite the lopsided score.
New York Jets def. Miami Dolphins
Mark Sanchez and that offense are looking pretty pathetic right about now.
San Diego Chargers def. Kansas City Chiefs
Matt Cassel not being there made a big difference, but with the way the score ended up it's no guarantee he would've changed the outcome.
Philadelphia Eagles def. Dallas Cowboys
Philly's playmakers really tore it up, and Jackson's little celebration was pretty entertaining.
New York Giants def. Minnesota Vikings
The only thing holding the Giants back this season is injuries, and unfortunately they have even more at the receiver position after this game.
Baltimore Ravens def. Houston Texans
Baltimore's starting to let leads slip away with regularity, not a good thing heading into the playoffs. Baltimore's defense is still a hell of a lot better than Houston's.
Tennessee is bad without Vince Young.
Buffalo Bills def. Cleveland Browns
Fitz ain't great, but he's good enough to be a starter for a 3-10 team.
Atlanta Falcons def. Carolina Panthers
This one was over before it began.
Detroit Lions def. Green Bay Packers
When am I happy to be wrong? When I pick the Packers to win. Make no mistake, Detroit is a good team. I think I said they'd get a division win this year, I might've even said it would come against the Pack. Still, the way the season was playing out I thought that was one pre-season prediction I'd be wrong about. The bigger story, though, is that the Packers have now lost to two opponents that the Bears beat and the Bears themselves. I hope this finally establishes the Bears as the better team this season. Don't blame this one on Rodgers being gone, either, the Lions were pummeling him before he exited the game.
Jacksonville Jaguars def. Oakland Raiders
I do hate being wrong, but I hate it even more when I'm wrong because the team I picked blew a late lead because of bad kick coverage and one huge run. It looked like the Raiders were going to pull this one off, then two plays later they lose. This is why despite looking impressive at times, the Raiders are not a playoff-caliber team.
Pittsburgh Steelers def. Cincinnati Bengals
Big Ben may be the quarterback, buck Troy Polamalu is the key to their success.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers def. Washington Redskins
I'm really surprised at the manner in which Tampa won, Washington had this game and gave it away (a high school kicker could've done a better job than Gano). One thing's for sure, though, Ryan Torain is a beast.
New Orleans Saints def. St. Louis Rams
Bradford is good, he outshined Drew Brees in the stat column. New Orleans is the better team, though.
San Francisco 49ers def. Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco is quickly becoming my least favorite team to pick this year, they always end up doing the complete opposite of what I expect. Seattle is almost as bad, so it's no wonder this turned out to be a matchup from hell for me.
Arizona Cardinals def. Denver Broncos
I should've gone with my gut instinct, Denver is bad.
New England Patriots def. Chicago Bears
This loss looked worse than it really was. If not for some offensive turnovers that lead to New England scores and a breakdown on the last play of the half, this game could've at least been a lot closer than it was. It also seemed like our gameplan was off, it looked like the coaches expected New England to keep to the ground and instead Brady came out and lit the place up. Still, New England outplayed us. They're a better team, I'll go so far as to call them he beast in the league right now, and they beat us. I'm not trying to make excuses, I'm just saying that people despairing about our playoff chances should find some hope despite the lopsided score.
New York Jets def. Miami Dolphins
Mark Sanchez and that offense are looking pretty pathetic right about now.
San Diego Chargers def. Kansas City Chiefs
Matt Cassel not being there made a big difference, but with the way the score ended up it's no guarantee he would've changed the outcome.
Philadelphia Eagles def. Dallas Cowboys
Philly's playmakers really tore it up, and Jackson's little celebration was pretty entertaining.
New York Giants def. Minnesota Vikings
The only thing holding the Giants back this season is injuries, and unfortunately they have even more at the receiver position after this game.
Baltimore Ravens def. Houston Texans
Baltimore's starting to let leads slip away with regularity, not a good thing heading into the playoffs. Baltimore's defense is still a hell of a lot better than Houston's.
Thursday, December 9, 2010
NFL Week Fourteen Predictions
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is bad without Vince Young. Indy may have a dismal run defense, but Tennessee has gotten by all season by having their offense hang in there and score as many points as their defense has given up. With Indy that's probably not going to happen, Peyton will get over the hump against that Tennessee secondary. Kerry Collins, meanwhile, is going to be taken apart by an Indy pass D that is in the top five in the league.
Prediction: Colts
Cleveland Browns @ Buffalo Bills
With the Bills sitting at dead last in rushing defense and Peyton Hillis taking snaps for the Browns, Cleveland is a mighty tempting pick. However, the Bills are no slouches in pass defense, while Cleveland sits at 20th in the league. Most of Cleveland's linebackers are also listed as out or questionable, so I have to go with the Bills in this one, for the first time this year I believe.
Prediction: Bills
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
I think I'll take a chance on the Falcons in this one.
Prediction: Falcons
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
Nothing would make me happier than to see the Packers upset by the Lions, but with their third string QB going up against Aaron Rodgers I just can't see Detroit winning this one.
Prediction: Packers
Oakland Raiders @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland has the Jaguars outclassed in passing defense. The Jaguars' running game is flying under the radar this season and David Garrard could put on a show against Oakland, but I think the Jaguars run into an Oakland gameplan that keeps the ball out of their hands and puts points on the board.
Prediction: Raiders
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
I don't know what's worse, the Steelers' 23rd-ranked passing defense or the Bengals' 24th-ranked running defense. This game seems ripe for an upset, but with Rashard Mendenhall taking snaps I can't go against the Steelers.
Prediction: Steelers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Washington Redskins
Every week people are picking Tampa to beat playoff-caliber teams, every week they come up just shy. This week they play a non-playoff caliber team, and they should win. Washington does have players coming back from injury, but I don't believe they can keep up with this Bucs' offense.
Prediction: Buccaneers
St. Louis Rams @ New Orleans Saints
Would you believe I actually had to go to the stats with this one? The Rams are certainly making an improvement over the past few seasons. It looks like Pierre Thomas is finally going to make his return, though, which makes the running back committee for New Orleans look very formidable. The Rams have quietly been in the upper half of the league in run defense, with the Saints being right there with them in the same category. I don't know that I can rightly give the advantage to either quarterback even with the slew of weapons Brees has, so this one comes down to passing D. The Saints are head and shoulder better than the Rams in this department, so I have to go with the favorite. Still, this is my game of the week.
Prediction: Saints
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers
Mike Singletary is benching Troy Smith after the way he's played over the past few games? This season has really turned into a disaster for him. The Niners have the talent to win this game, but I think the Seahawks are the overall better team.
Prediction: Seahawks
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
When I heard that McDaniels was fired I thought that Studesville was going to break the trend of interim coaches getting their first win in their first game, then I saw who the Broncos were playing and changed my mind.
Prediction: Broncos
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears
This is a good matchup, both teams have strengths and weaknesses the other can exploit. The Bears have been good on defense against formidable passing attacks, but New England has just the right offense to exploit the cover-2. The Patriots are near dead last in the league in passing defense, but rookie Devin McCourty is dangerous and could end up costing Cutler some picks. On the ground, New England is just in the bottom half of the league on defense while Chicago's run game is just getting going. On the flip side, Chicago is second in the league against the run while the Patriots don't do anything special on offense. Statistically the Bears should be able to pull out the win, though the Patriots have been finding ways to win games where they seem overmatched all season. I wouldn't count the Patriots out of anything, but after their big win last week I think they're due for a comedown. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Bears
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
These teams are pretty evenly matched, but where Miami has most of their defensive stars listed as questionable it seems like New York is due to get most of their injured players back this week. I have to take the Jets in a close one.
Prediction: Jets
Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers
No Matt Cassel, no chance for the Chiefs
Prediction: Chargers
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
There are a lot of people choosing the Cowboys as an upset and I will admit the intangibles seem to favor them. However, the Eagles have the defense on both sides of the ball to keep this game under their control. As long as they can keep the Cowboys from establishing offensive rhythm they should be able to pull out a win.
Prediction: Eagles
New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings
Despite the talk about the injuries to the Giants' line, Eli Manning hasn't been sacked since he played the Cowboys in week seven. He has thrown a ton of interceptions, though, and Nicks and Smith are still listed as questionable. Minnesota hasn't been great in generating takeaways, but their sack numbers have improved in recent weeks. The Giants are just as formidable, though, and have an electric secondary. I am right on the fence on this one and could easily take the Vikings, but I'm barely looking at New York as favorites in this one. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Giants
Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans
I'd like to take the Texans as an upset here, but their biggest advantage is their running game and Baltimore's run game is just as good. The Texans are absolutely atrocious in pass defense, and I can't rightly pick them to win a game against a team with a quarterback like Joe Flacco.
Prediction: Ravens
Tennessee is bad without Vince Young. Indy may have a dismal run defense, but Tennessee has gotten by all season by having their offense hang in there and score as many points as their defense has given up. With Indy that's probably not going to happen, Peyton will get over the hump against that Tennessee secondary. Kerry Collins, meanwhile, is going to be taken apart by an Indy pass D that is in the top five in the league.
Prediction: Colts
Cleveland Browns @ Buffalo Bills
With the Bills sitting at dead last in rushing defense and Peyton Hillis taking snaps for the Browns, Cleveland is a mighty tempting pick. However, the Bills are no slouches in pass defense, while Cleveland sits at 20th in the league. Most of Cleveland's linebackers are also listed as out or questionable, so I have to go with the Bills in this one, for the first time this year I believe.
Prediction: Bills
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
I think I'll take a chance on the Falcons in this one.
Prediction: Falcons
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
Nothing would make me happier than to see the Packers upset by the Lions, but with their third string QB going up against Aaron Rodgers I just can't see Detroit winning this one.
Prediction: Packers
Oakland Raiders @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland has the Jaguars outclassed in passing defense. The Jaguars' running game is flying under the radar this season and David Garrard could put on a show against Oakland, but I think the Jaguars run into an Oakland gameplan that keeps the ball out of their hands and puts points on the board.
Prediction: Raiders
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
I don't know what's worse, the Steelers' 23rd-ranked passing defense or the Bengals' 24th-ranked running defense. This game seems ripe for an upset, but with Rashard Mendenhall taking snaps I can't go against the Steelers.
Prediction: Steelers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Washington Redskins
Every week people are picking Tampa to beat playoff-caliber teams, every week they come up just shy. This week they play a non-playoff caliber team, and they should win. Washington does have players coming back from injury, but I don't believe they can keep up with this Bucs' offense.
Prediction: Buccaneers
St. Louis Rams @ New Orleans Saints
Would you believe I actually had to go to the stats with this one? The Rams are certainly making an improvement over the past few seasons. It looks like Pierre Thomas is finally going to make his return, though, which makes the running back committee for New Orleans look very formidable. The Rams have quietly been in the upper half of the league in run defense, with the Saints being right there with them in the same category. I don't know that I can rightly give the advantage to either quarterback even with the slew of weapons Brees has, so this one comes down to passing D. The Saints are head and shoulder better than the Rams in this department, so I have to go with the favorite. Still, this is my game of the week.
Prediction: Saints
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers
Mike Singletary is benching Troy Smith after the way he's played over the past few games? This season has really turned into a disaster for him. The Niners have the talent to win this game, but I think the Seahawks are the overall better team.
Prediction: Seahawks
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
When I heard that McDaniels was fired I thought that Studesville was going to break the trend of interim coaches getting their first win in their first game, then I saw who the Broncos were playing and changed my mind.
Prediction: Broncos
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears
This is a good matchup, both teams have strengths and weaknesses the other can exploit. The Bears have been good on defense against formidable passing attacks, but New England has just the right offense to exploit the cover-2. The Patriots are near dead last in the league in passing defense, but rookie Devin McCourty is dangerous and could end up costing Cutler some picks. On the ground, New England is just in the bottom half of the league on defense while Chicago's run game is just getting going. On the flip side, Chicago is second in the league against the run while the Patriots don't do anything special on offense. Statistically the Bears should be able to pull out the win, though the Patriots have been finding ways to win games where they seem overmatched all season. I wouldn't count the Patriots out of anything, but after their big win last week I think they're due for a comedown. This is my upset of the week.
Prediction: Bears
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
These teams are pretty evenly matched, but where Miami has most of their defensive stars listed as questionable it seems like New York is due to get most of their injured players back this week. I have to take the Jets in a close one.
Prediction: Jets
Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers
No Matt Cassel, no chance for the Chiefs
Prediction: Chargers
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
There are a lot of people choosing the Cowboys as an upset and I will admit the intangibles seem to favor them. However, the Eagles have the defense on both sides of the ball to keep this game under their control. As long as they can keep the Cowboys from establishing offensive rhythm they should be able to pull out a win.
Prediction: Eagles
New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings
Despite the talk about the injuries to the Giants' line, Eli Manning hasn't been sacked since he played the Cowboys in week seven. He has thrown a ton of interceptions, though, and Nicks and Smith are still listed as questionable. Minnesota hasn't been great in generating takeaways, but their sack numbers have improved in recent weeks. The Giants are just as formidable, though, and have an electric secondary. I am right on the fence on this one and could easily take the Vikings, but I'm barely looking at New York as favorites in this one. This is my sleeper of the week.
Prediction: Giants
Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans
I'd like to take the Texans as an upset here, but their biggest advantage is their running game and Baltimore's run game is just as good. The Texans are absolutely atrocious in pass defense, and I can't rightly pick them to win a game against a team with a quarterback like Joe Flacco.
Prediction: Ravens
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)